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Optimizing Metapopulation Sustainability through a Checkerboard Strategy 英文参考文献
OptimizingMetapopulationSustainabilitythrougha
CheckerboardStrategy
YossiBenZion1*,GurYaari2,NadavM.Shnerb1
1DepartmentofPhysics,Bar-IlanUniversity,Ramat-Gan,Israel,2DepartmentofEcologyandEvolutionaryBiology,YaleUniversity,NewHaven,Connecticut,UnitedStates
ofAmerica
Abstract
Thepersistenceofaspatiallystructuredpopulationisdeterminedbytherateofdispersalamonghabitatpatches.Ifthe
localdynamicatthesubpopulationlevelisextinction-prone,thesystemviabilityismaximalatintermediateconnectivity
whererecolonizationisallowed,butfullsynchronizationthatenablescorrelatedextinctionisforbidden.Herewedeveloped
andusedanalgorithmforagent-basedsimulationsinordertostudythepersistenceofastochasticmetapopulation.The
effectofnoiseisshowntobedramatic,andthedynamicsofthespatialpopulationdifferssubstantiallyfromthepredictions
of deterministic models. This has been validated for the stochastic versions of the logistic map, theRicker map and the
Nicholson-Bailey host-parasitoid system. To analyze the possibility of extinction, previous studies were focused on the
attractiveness(Lyapunovexponent)ofstablesolutionsandthestructureoftheirbasinofattraction(dependenceoninitial
population size). Our results suggest that these features are of secondary importance in the presence of stochasticity.
Instead,optimalsustainabilityisachievedwhendecoherenceismaximal.Individual-basedsimulationsofmetapopulations
ofdifferentsizes,dimensionsandnoisetypes,showthatthesystem’slifetimepeakswhenitdisplayscheckerboardspatial
patterns. This conclusion is supported by the results of a recently published Drosophila experiment. The checkerboard
strategyprovidesatechniqueforthemanipulationofmigrationrates(e.g.,byconstructingcorridors)inordertoaffectthe
persistenceofametapopulation.Itmaybeusedinordertominimizetheriskofextinctionofanendangeredspecies,orto
maximizetheefficiencyofaneradicationcampaign.
Citation:BenZionY,YaariG,ShnerbNM(2010)OptimizingMetapopulationSustainabilitythroughaCheckerboardStrategy.PLoSComputBiol6(1):e10
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