湖南省人口老龄化对居民消费的影响分析.pdfVIP

Abstract Since Hunan province entered the aging society in 1998, the process of aging in Hunan Province has fast speed. In 2010,all of prefectural-level cities in Hunan have entered the stage of aging and the aging coefficient is higher than the 8%.The statistics of The fifth census、The sixth census show that the aging coefficient of Hunan Province national ranking rose from No. 11 to No. 8, higher than the national average. Whether the aging of the population will affect consumption level of Hunan or not? Whether the aging of the population will affect consumption structure of Hunan or not? This will not only related to the Hunan Province expand domestic demand implementation of the strategy, the transformation of the mode of economic development and the improvement of peoples livelihood, but also to Hunan residents consumption structure optimization and upgrading of industrial structure and industrial modernization. Therefore, the analysis of the aging of the population in Hunan Province consumer has important theoretical and practical significance. Firstly, in-depth analysis of the status、characteristics and causes of the aging population in Hunan Province and predict trends, followed by a comprehensive and systematic analysis the aging population in Hunan Province on the consumer direct and indirect impact mechanism , based on the use of time-series data and multiple linear regression models, empirical testing Hunan population age structure on the impact of the level of consumption, and the use of gray correlation analysis method analysis of urban and rural residents consumption structure and changes in the age structure of the degree of association, try to find the specif