基于博弈模型的油脂行业“企业+农户”模式可行性研究.pdfVIP

4 (j)-tt f (iå( 2012 ,28(11):150-154 Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin 基于博弈模型的油脂行业企业+农户模式可行性研究 赵金阳 〈绥化学院经济管理学院，黑龙江绥化 152061) 摘要:面对油脂企业原料短缺、农民有豆惜售的局面，传统的企业挂牌收购、农民送辘购销模式对油 脂行业已呈现出不适应。企业+农户模式通过改变油脂行业的产业链结构，使商品市场和原材料市场 联动，从源头消除价格风险，从而可望解决上述难题。利用博弈模型分析油脂行业中推广企业+农户 模式可行性后结果表明:订单合同中违约金额的设定是制约企业+农户模式推广的重要因素，并提出 提高订单合同执行率、建立企业和农户的声誉监督机制、重视政府和合作社的作用和运用期货工具等建 议来促进油脂行业企业+农户模式的发展。 关键词:博弈;油脂行业;企业+农户;可行性 中图分类号:F325.12;F224.32 文献标志码:A 论文编号:2011-3520 AF，臼sibility Study 00 Eoterpri随 Fanner Model of Oils lodustηB描e 00 Game Model Zhao Jinyang (College 01Ecorwmics and Management. S山hua Univerl峙. Suihua Heilongjiang 152061) Abstract: Facing the situation of oils ente甲rises raw material shortage and farmers won t sell soybean, the traditional purchase model of enterprises pur~:hase go public and farmers delivery soybean has been not adapt to oils industry. Enterprise+Farmer w幽 mo~t possible solved the problem above by changing the structure of oils industry chain for the linkage between commercial market and material market. The results showed that order penalty w幽 an important restrictive factor that spread llEnterprise + Farmer in oils industry by establishing and analyzing game models. It put forw缸d su回estions 由at increasing order execution rate , establishing ente甲rises and farmers reputation supervísíon mechanism, payíng attention ωthe role of government and cooperative, using futures tool hase on the above-mentioned conclusion. Key words: Game; oils industry; Enterprise Farmer; feasihility 。引言 场需求等因素导致大豆价格波动较大，大豆价格低迷 农业是个特殊的产业，农业生产过程难以量化监 时农民虽有大豆却不愿出售，加之种植大豆成本的上 督，很难实现工厂化生产I飞无论从中国的国情还是