基于人工神经网络的农业病虫害预测模型及其效果检验-Core.PDFVIP

19 5 　　　　　　 V o .l 19, N o. 5 1999 9 A CTA ECO LOG ICA SIN ICA S ep t. , 1999 1 2 李祚泳, 彭荔红 ( 1. , 　610041; 2. , 　361005) : , B-P。 100% , 83%。 : ; B-P, ; ; P rediction m odel of agricultural plant diseases and insect pests based on artificial neural network and its verification 1 2 L I Zuo-Yong , PENG L i-H ong 　( 1. Chengdu Institute of M eteorology, Chengdu 610041, China; 2. R esearch , , 361005, ) Center of Env ironment S ciences X iamen University X iamen China Abstract: A m odel is developed for the classified pred iction of agricu ltural p lant d iseases and insect pests - using B P artif icial neu ral netw ork w ith factors related to ag ricu ltu ral p lan t diseases and in sect pests as in- . pu t featu res of sam ple T he resu lts of prediction to rice b last show th at the qualified retes o f fitting and pred icting using th is m odel acqu ire 100% and 33. 3% , respectively. : ; - ; ; ; Key words artificial neural netw ork B P algorithm d iseases and in sect pests prediction agricu lture : 1000-0933( 1999) 05-0 59-04　: 431　: S A 　　, , , [ 1] , , , 。 , 。。, 。, 。 80, , 、、 [2] , 。 , ( - ), B P 。 1　 B-P 80。 , - B P [3, 4] 。。 B -P 、 3 。 , , 1。B-P 。 1, 1。①, , k、V j i kj ( - 1, 1);② , , θj, Vk