气候变化对郑州市冬小麦适宜播种期的影响.PDFVIP

中国农学通报 2012,28(12):44-47 Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin 气候变化对郑州市冬小麦适宜播种期的影响 查菲娜，程芳芳，李红卫，沈艳玲 （郑州市气象局，郑州450048 ） 摘 要：为了探明气候变暖对郑州市冬小麦适宜播种期的影响，对郑州市1981—2010 年间冬小麦冬前生 长期内的正积温及其生长状况进行统计分析。结果表明：郑州市10—12 月的正积温呈上升趋势，且与 冬小麦冬前株高和分蘖数呈显著正相关，相关系数分别为0.720 和0.495 ；同时1981—2010 年间，稳定通 过冬小麦适宜播种温度的日期呈推后趋势，2001—2010 年以来稳定通过17℃的日期分别较1981—1990 年和1991—2000 年推后5 天和6 天，而稳定通过15℃的日期分别推后5 天和4 天。因此，初步认为郑州 市冬小麦适宜播种期在10 月中下旬。 关键词：气候变化；积温；冬小麦；播种期 中图分类号：S512 文献标志码：A 论文编号：2011-2960 EffectsofClimateChangeontheSuitableSowingTimeofWinterWheatinZhengzhouCity Zha Feina, Cheng Fangfang, Li Hongwei, Shen Yanling (MeteorologicalBureauofZhengzhou, Zhengzhou 450048) Abstract: In order to evaluate effects of climate change on the suitable sowing time of winter wheat in Zhengzhou City, the data of temperature and growth development of wheat were analyzed. The results indicated that: accumulated temperature from October to December were on the rise, and it had significant positive correlation between accumulated temperature and growth of wheat, correlation coefficient were 0.720 and 0.495; meanwhile the last day of suitable temperature for wheat sowing showed to postpone, for the last day of 17℃, 5 days and 6 days to postpone during 2001-2010 compared with 1981-1990 and 1991-2000, respectively. For the last day of 15℃ 5 days and 4 days to postpone during 2001-2010 compared with 1981-1990 and 1991-2000, respectively. So it was considered that, the suitable sowing time of winter wheat was during October 11 to 31. Keywords:climate change; accumulated temperature; winter wheat; sowing tim