斜坡演化的自组织临界性和防护系统的可靠性分析.pdfVIP

第28卷第1期 水土保持通报 VoI．28，No．1 2008年2月 Bulletin of SoiI and Water Conservation Feb．。2008 斜坡演化的自组织临界性和防护系统的可靠性分析 高召宁 。，姚令侃 ，尹紫红 (1．西南交通大学土木工程学院道路与铁道工程系，四川 成都 610031； 2．安徽理工大学 资源开发与管理工程系，安徽 淮南 232001) 摘 要：在对斜坡演化全过程特点分析的基础上，讨论了斜坡演化的自组织过程。研究表明，斜坡演化过 程是一类具有时间一空间变化的广延耗散动力学复杂系统，与外界环境存在着物质、能量和信息的交换， 是一种远离平衡态的自组织临界现象。自组织临界性是斜坡动力学过程的吸引子，同时为斜坡作用强度 与频度之间的负幂律特征提供了证据。在此基础上，以斜坡崩塌落石为例，建立了斜坡防护系统的可靠性 分析模型，并对某铁路缙云至青田段危岩崩塌分布区内拦石网防护系统进行了可靠性分析。 关键词：斜坡演化；自组织临界性；干涉模型；可靠度 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1000--288X(2008)01一()(]9O—O5 中图分类号：N93，X43 Self-organized Criticality of Slope Development and Reliability Analysis of Slope Flexible Safeguard System GAO Zhao—ning ，YAO Ling—kan ，YIN Zi—hong (1．College of Civil Engineering，Southwest J iaotong University，Chengdu， Sichuan 610031，China；2．Department of Resource Development and Management Engineering，Anhui University of Science and Technology，Huai’nan，Anhui 232001，China) Abstract：The self-organized process of slope development is discussed by the analysis of the characteristics of the whole process of slope development。Results show that the process of slope development can be consid— ered as an extensively dissipative dynamical complex system varying in time and space and has mass，energy， and information exchanges with external environment．The process of slope development represents a self- organized criticality(SOC)phenomenon far away from the equilibrium state．SOC is a dynamical attractor in the process of slope development and provides an evidence for minus power law between frequency of slope action and its strength．Based on this understanding，an analysis model for the reliability o