2010年_美国QDR报告草案.pdfVIP

Cordesman and Fitzgerald: The 2010 Quadrennial Defense Review i THE 2010 QUADRENNIAL DEFENSE REVIEW A+, F, OR DEAD ON ARRIVAL? Erin K. Fitzgerald and Anthony H. Cordesman Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy Working Draft August 27, 2009 Cordesman and Fitzgerald: The 2010 Quadrennial Defense Review ii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In 2010, the Obama administration will release its first Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR). A strategic framework for the Department of Defense (DOD) as it confronts current and future challenges, the QDR is intended to serve as a means to develop new policies, capabilities and initiatives. However, these intentions have so far been unrealized. Past reviews have been decoupled from meaningful budget figures, realistic force plans, honest procurement decisions, and metrics to measure the success of their recommendations. As a result of this ―strategy-reality gap‖ between concepts and resources, they have had limited practical value. The issues the QDR must address have been greatly complicated by the Department of Defense’s past failures to develop effective plans, programs, and budgets; carry out effective systems analysis; develop credible cost estimates; and create timely and meaningful future year defense plans (FYDPs). Worst among these problems was the failure to properly manage the procurement process, which reached such a point of crisis that it forced the current Administration to take initial action. So many major weapons systems development programs were in trouble -- with their next generat