宁夏区域旅游经济系统脆弱性评价.docVIP

宁夏区域旅游经济系统脆弱性评价 贾菲 苗红 孔云霄 耿一睿 宁夏大学资源环境学院 X 关注成功！ 加关注后您将方便地在 我的关注中得到本文献的被引频次变化的通知！ 新浪微博 腾讯微博 人人网 开心网 豆瓣网 网易微博 摘????要： 以宁夏为例, 从暴露-敏感性和应对能力两方面构建区域旅游经济系统脆弱性评价指标体系, 运用脆弱性模型和障碍度模型, 分析2001—2015年宁夏区域旅游经济系统脆弱性的演变特征及主要影响因素.结果表明, 宁夏区域旅游经济系统脆弱性整体呈波动下降趋势, 暴露-敏感性指数和应对能力指数均呈波动上升趋势;第三产业占GDP的比例、城镇化率、旅游从行业人员占总从业人员的比例、旅游劳动生产率、交通事故发生与宁夏区域旅游经济系统脆弱性具有较高的相关性;第三产业占GDP的比例、人均GDP、城镇居民人均可支配收入、教育支出占地方财政支出的比例和城镇化率是制约宁夏区域旅游经济系统应对能力提升的关键因素. 关键词： 区域旅游经济系统; 脆弱性评价; 评价模型; 宁夏; 作者简介：贾菲 (1990—) , 女, 硕士研究生, 主要从事旅游开发与规划研究, (电子信箱)163.com. 作者简介：苗红 (1975—) , 女, 教授, 博士, 硕士生导师, 主要从事区域可持续发展和区域旅游开发与规划研究, (电子信箱) Miaohong1101@126.com. 收稿日期：2017-06-20 基金：国家自然科学基金资助项目 Evaluation on System Vulnerability of Regional Tourism Economy in Ningxia Jia Fei Miao Hong Kong Yunxiao Geng Yirui College of Resource and Environmental Science, Ningxia University; Abstract： The article builds vulnerability evaluation index system of regional tourism economy system from the aspects of expose-sensibility and coping capacity, and analyzes its evolution characteristic and major influencing factors from 2001 to 2015 in Ningxia with vulnerability model and obstacle degree model.The result shows that, the overall system vulnerability of Ningxia regional tourism economy appears fluctuating down trend, expose-sensibility index and coping capacity are fluctuating upward;the proportion of third industries to GDP, urbanization rate, the proportion of tourism employees to entire workforce, tourism labor productivity, and accident involvement are highly relative to regional tourism economy system vulnerability in Ningxia;Proportion of third industries to GDP, GDP per capita, proportion of per capita disposable income and education spending of urban residents to local fiscal expenditure and urbanization rate are key factors of restraining the promotion of regional tourism economy systems coping capacity. Keyword： regional tourism economic system; vulnerability evaluation; evaluation model; the Ningxia Hui A