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Technology Assessment Superfactory Lean Manufacturing 技术评估superfactory精益生产
* ? 2009 Factory Strategies Group LLC. All rights reserved. ? 2009 Factory Strategies Group LLC. All rights reserved. * ? 2009 Factory Strategies Group LLC. All rights reserved. ? 2009 Factory Strategies Group LLC. All rights reserved. * ? 2009 Factory Strategies Group LLC. All rights reserved. ? 2009 Factory Strategies Group LLC. All rights reserved. * ? 2009 Factory Strategies Group LLC. All rights reserved. ? 2009 Factory Strategies Group LLC. All rights reserved. ? 2009 Factory Strategies Group LLC. All rights reserved. Technology Assessment Enterprise Excellence Series Outline Management of Technology Sociotechnical Change Technology Planning Technology Forecasting Managing Forecasting Methods and Issues Lifecycles Monitoring Tools for Trending Extrapolating Technological Trends Expert Opinion Result of Technology’s Increasing Significance Technology assessment originally driven by concern regarding the negative effects of technology on the environment and society. now much more encompassing Technology forecasting assessment requires anticipation, therefore a need for technology forecasting. Product Life Cycle Commercial launch Years from Launch Innovation Growth Maturity Decline Profit Sales Volume Maximum Profit Maximum Sales Volume Withdrawn from market Sales Revenue (x1,000,000) Profit Revenue (x100,000) 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 Impact/Technology Assessment It is the systematic study of the effects on society, that may occur when a technology is introduced, extended, or modified, with emphasis on the impacts that are unintended, indirect, or delayed. (Joseph Coates, 1976) It should be viewed by technology managers as professional obligation and social responsibility It’s results form the “big picture” concerns that should shape the context of technological planning Forecasting-Technology Management Relationship Forecasting is intended to bring information to the technology management process Predicts possible technological changes that might aff
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