垂直专业化分工与全要素生产率——基于跨国面板数据的实证研究-vertical specialization and total factor productivity an empirical study based on transnational panel data.docxVIP

万方数据万方数据摘 要20 世纪 60 年代以来，随着经济全球化的发展，垂直专业化分工进一步深化， 贸易格局发生了重大变化。作为一种新的生产组织方式，垂直专业化分工对全要 素生产率会产生影响，但由于不同经济发展水平的国家在参与垂直专业化分工中 所参与的环节和工序是不同的，而且价值链上各环节所创造的价值增值并不相 同，那么各国在参与这一分工过程中对全要素生产率的影响程度是否也不同？另 外，全要素生产率又可以进一步分解为技术进步和技术效率，垂直专业化分工对 其分解指标的影响又有无国别差异？这都是本文实证检验的重点。本文利用 WIOD 数据库提供的所有 40 个国家 1995 年到 2011 年的投入产出 表测算出各国的垂直专业化指数，并利用 DEA 法测算并分解各国全要素生产率， 从而通过实证分析探求不同的国家在参与垂直专业化分工过程中，对全要素生产 率及其分解指标产生的差异性影响。实证研究结果表明：参与垂直专业化分工， 对于整体 40 个国家来说利于其全要素生产率的提高，同时对于技术进步和技术 效率也是有正向促进作用；在加入发展水平和垂直专业化指数的交互项后，垂直 专业化分工对全要素生产率的促进作用存在门槛效应，同时对全要素生产率的分 解指标技术进步和技术效率的影响的效果是也不一样的，经济发展水平越高，对 技术进步变动的正向影响越大，而经济发展水平较低时，则对技术效率变动的正 向影响较大。关键词：垂直专业化分工；全要素生产率；技术进步；技术效率IIIAbstractSince the 1960s, with the development of economic globalization, vertical specialization has further deepened and trade patterns have undergone major changes. As a new form of international division of labor, vertical specialization will have an impact on total factor productivity. Because of links and processes at different levels of economic development in the country involved in the participation in vertical specialization is different, moreover all aspects of the value-added chain to create value is not the same, then the countries involved in the division of the whole process whether the impact factor productivity are also different? In addition, total factor productivity can be further decomposed into technological progress and technical efficiency, then how the vertical specialization influence decomposition indicators? This is the focus of this paper to empirically test these problems.This paper attempts to take advantage of all the 40 countries’ input-output tables from the year of 1995 to 1996 provided by WIOD database and measures out vertical specialization index of countries, then explore different countries participating in the vertical specialization process whether have different effects to TFP and its decomposition indicators. The empirical results show: firstly: for the whole 40 countries, participating in vertical spe