基于营配信息融合的典型行业负荷建模方法研究.docxVIP

第 PAGE 1页 基于营配信息融合的典型行业负荷建模方法研究摘 要随着我国主要的电网互联进程推进，电网规模不断扩大，复杂程度越来越高，电网的动态稳定性以及电压稳定性问题更加突出，负荷模型对于电力系统数字仿真结果的影响已经不容忽视。但是，综合负荷的随即时变性和地域分散性使建立准确描述综合负荷的模型变得非常困难。为了使系统分析结果更加可信，使分析真正起到定量作用，为电力系统规划、运行和控制提供准确的依据，有必要建立更为切合实际的负荷模型。本文利用用户日负荷曲线解决在统计综合法负荷建模中的用电行业正确分类以及典型行业负荷综合模型建模的问题。运用模糊C均值聚类原理，提出基于日负荷曲线的电力用户所属用电行业的分类和综合方法。首先根据负控用户名进行用户初始的行业分类和行业用户精选，取得更具有代表性的行业典型用户；然后利用负控装置测量得到的48点日负荷曲线通过模糊C均值聚类算法获得用的行业分类，其中计算过程中得到的聚类中心矩阵构成典型用电行业的综合日负荷曲线；最后利用营销管理系统获得典型行业用电设备构成比例，从而得到描述该行业综合用电特性的特征参数，即典型用电行业的综合负荷模型；在本文的最后以湖南永州为例，对本文描述的算法进行了验证。实际应用表明，该方法物理概念清晰、简便、实用，同时为后续的变电站综合负荷建模奠定了良好的基础。关键词：电力系统；负荷建模；日负荷曲线；特征参数；模糊C均值聚类；隶属度；聚类中心AbstractWith the boost of the intereonnection progress of the main grid in China,the scale of the grid is becoming larger and the complexity of it is becoming higher,the dynamic stability and voltage stability problems is becoming more and more outstanding,the influence of load model on the power system digital simulation can’t be neglected.Nevertheless,the tlme variation and territorial difference problems make the work of 1dentltying the aggregate model that could accuracely describe the factuaI load is becoming harder.From the viewpoint of making the analytical results more reliable and providing precise basis for the design,operation and control of power system,more reasonable load model should be constltuted.The purpose in this paper is to resolve the problems that how to classify the electricity industry properly and aggregate load modeling based on the HYPERLINK /dict_result.aspx?searchword=%e6%97%a5%e8%b4%9f%e8%8d%b7%e6%9b%b2%e7%ba%bftjType=sentencestyle=t=daily+load+curve daily load curve.Using Fuzzy C-means clustering principle, the approach of the electricity industry classifys and aggregates based on the daily load curve was proposed. Firstly,according to the name of negative control users we need to calssify initially the users and select the typical users of