区域视角下城市人口规模预测方法研究——以临夏市为例-research on the prediction method of urban population scale from the perspective of region - a case study of linxia city.docx
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区域视角下城市人口规模预测方法研究——以临夏市为例-research on the prediction method of urban population scale from the perspective of region - a case study of linxia city
Theresearchontheurbanpopulationscaleprojectioninregionalperspective一-AcasestudyinLinxiacitySpecialty:UrbanPlanningandDesignGraduate:WangNanInstructor:AssociateProf.DuanDegangAbstractThesizeoftheurbanpopulationisthethemostimportantofurbanplanning.Currentiy,thesizeofthepopulationina11citiesandtownsisrelativelyindependent.ThereislackofcoordinationbetweenthesinglescaleoftheurbanpopulationandUrbansystemprediction.CreateunnecessarybarrierstourbanplanningsandcontrolforurbansyslemfortheregionalpopulationBasedonthisbackground,lhepopulalionforecasltobetìomaregionalperspectiveFirst,1PopulationForecastsummaryissummary,accordingtothedifferenlclassificalion,thedifferentpredictionmethodswereanalyzed.Thecomparisonismadebetweenacityspopulationandthemulti-regionalpopulationprojeclions,remainlheproposedpredictionmethodstoimprovethepoplllationsproblemsSecondly,theanalysisofLinxia,LinxiaPoplllationandfealures,statislicsvariouscitiesandcountieshaveLinxiapopulationforecast,theforecaslresullswereanalyzedUsinglhetraditionalmethodofpopulationprojectionLinxiadownlowntoprediclpopulationsize,analyticalproblemsencounteredintheforecasl,andtheexlent01lheproblemwerediscussedAgain,basedonthepopulationpredictionproblem,introdllclthePrinciplesofForecastingurbansystemsandregionaldevelopmentforecastthescaleoftheurbanpopulationofthethreebasicresearchmethods,firstdegreemethod,ZipfandtheGiniDescribesthebasicidea01regionalperspectiveofpoplllationforecasting.lheoneoflheassumptionsproposedpredictionmethod,andforthemethodsofmathematicalpushfortheprediction01relativelyclearpartofthegivenanalysis,analysisoflhismelhodisapplicabletothegeographicalandregionalscopeUrbancentersintheforecastfortheurbanpopulationaccountedfortheproportionoftheregionstotalurbanpopulationindepth.Analysistopredictthetotalurbanpopulationofthecitycenterarearatioofthetotalurbanpoplllation,andthemathematicalp.毛dictionprojections.Thefirstdegreebythecitylaw,Zipf(Zipt)fractalmethod,Nickycoefficientrepresentativeofthreeforecastingmethods.Firstdegr
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