对江苏省幼儿体质影响因素逻辑回归分析.docVIP

对江苏省幼儿体质影响因素逻辑回归分析 　　摘要：本文利用2005年江苏省幼儿体质监测的体质测试数据和问卷调查资料，运用二项逻辑回归分析法在江苏省幼儿体质总体状况和问卷调查所涉及的主要询问指标间建立统计学联系，研究不同影响因素对幼儿体质的影响作用。研究对象：参加2005年江苏幼儿体质监测的3―6岁幼儿8628名，其中男孩4318人，女孩4310人。研究方法与研究层次：二项逻辑回归分析法。第一步，分别对各自变量因素下的分类等级的达标状况进行χ2检验，检验其显著性效果。第二步，选用χ2检验p值小于0.05的影响因子进一步纳入多元逻辑回归分析，运用向后逐步剔除方法建立逻辑回归模型。结论：较为系统、正规的幼儿教育背景、幼儿家庭的城乡身份差异仍然是决定幼儿体质状况的最主要因素，同时婴儿期的体格基础、幼儿的自主锻炼和娱乐因素也相当重要，相对来说，父母亲的体育态度虽然对幼儿的体质有一定的影响，但影响作用是间接和有限的。 　　关键词：二项逻辑回归; 幼儿; 体质; 影响因素 　　中图分类号：G804.49文献标识码：A文章编号：1004-4590(2008)01-0073-03? 　　 　　Abstract:Objectives: to explore the statistic relationship between the physical fitness of Jiangsu preschool children and the influence factors using the data disclosed in 2005 Jiangsu children’s physical fitness survey and related questionnaire. Participants: 8628 3-6 years old preschool children randomly sampled in 2005 Jiangsu children’s physical fitness survey, including 4318 boys and 4310 girls. Methods: Binary logistic regression, with fitness classification as dependent and 22 categorized variables as covariates. The first step, respectively making χ2 test on the relationship between the fitness classification and the covariates; secondly, putting the variables with chi-square p0.05 into the logistic regression process at a time, building a logistic regression equation with backward stepwise exclusion. Conclusions: The status of children’s physical fitness is mainly affected by such backgrounds as systematic, standard preschool education and urban-rural difference. Meanwhile, the factors such as the growth status in infant stage, children’s exercise and entertainment are also quite important. Relatively, parents’ sports attitude plays an indirect and limited role. 　　 　　Key words: 　　binary logistic regression; preschool children; physical fitness; influence factors 　　?? 　　同体质的基本定义一样，幼儿体质也是在遗传性和获得性基础上表现出来的幼儿形态结构、生理功能和心理因素的综合的、相对稳定的特征，遗传为体质的发展提供了可能性，其体质强弱的现实性更多地依赖于后天的生存环境，如营养、卫生（包含心理卫生）和运动等决定体质强弱的基本因素，因此，影响幼儿体质的因素是错综复杂的。同2000年相比，2005年的幼儿体质监测除体质测试外，通过调查问卷的方式收集了更为丰富的影响