城镇居民住宅消费的影响因素与发展趋势：重庆个案研究-influencing factors and development trend of residential consumption of urban residents a case study of chongqing.docxVIP

重庆大 重庆大学硕士学位论文 英文摘要 PAGE PAGE VI ABSTRACT When it came the 21st century, China thoroughly canceled the welfare housing Policy and carried out the housing Policy reform over all the country. Therefore，the real estate market has developed rapidly in our country. At the same time，the consumption structures of urban residents have been changed greatly and the housing consumption has become their important expenditure. And the housing consumption encourages the economic increasing powerfully. It has been the focus of society consumption. However，the fast developing of housing industry has caused a series of social Problems，such as housing Price rising quickly，housing structure being unreasonable， the supplying and needing being not equilibrium etc. In this paper, combined the qualitative and quantitative research methods, analyze the problem in commercial buildings market and the status of urban residents housing consumption in Chongqing, found that: ①in total, the housing market shows demand thirst status; ②in Structure, the housing market was in short supply for a long term, imbalance between supply and demand was serious, and this trend is getting worse, contrary with the housing market, commercial buildings and office buildings are in the long-term oversupply situation, and the gap between demand and supply is continuing rise. ③in housing market，the price is rising too fast, housing prices far beyond the actual purchasing power of residents, the residential consumption showed the state of up and down, and the general trend is gradually getting rational. And the Paper use of time-varying parameter model analyzes the relationship between domestic consumption of urban residents and per capita disposable income; found that since 1979, urban residents’ consumption on domestic showed a marginal increase trend in Chongqing. This is the result of Chinas gradual implementation of domestic reforms, abolition of welfare housing sharing, and personal purc