房价与城市价值关系分析-土地资源管理专业论文.docxVIP

中 文 摘 要 衣食住行自古以来就是人类社会的四大基本需求，中国经济建设几十年来，穿衣吃 饭问题早已得到了解决，而住房的问题一直困扰着中国社会的发展。自从国家进行商品 房体制改革十年来，房价几乎一直在上涨，尤其是最近几年来，原因何在？学者、官员 和媒体纷纷探究。在现代市场经济条件下，影响房价的有供求关系、土地价格、通胀预 期、居民收入水平、经济政策等多种因素，但笔者认为最根本的因素是城市价值。城市 价值决定城市的总体房价，城市价值转移是房价形成的特殊规律，是科学分析判断房价 水平及其趋势的重要方法和依据。 本文主要分为五个部分：文献综述、城市价值的内涵及评估、城市价值对房价的影 响机制、实证分析、主要结论和建议。 在文献综述部分，本文对目前国内外学者对城市商品房价格水平影响因素的研究进 行了梳理，认为目前学者大多从地价、城市交通、城市经济水平等单因素方面对房价的 影响因素进行分析有失全面性，从而提出了应该从整个城市价值的角度来对房价水平进 行研究。在理论研究部分，笔者剖析了城市价值的内涵及构成因素，并从政治、经济、 文化、社会和生态五个方面构建了一套城市价值评估指标。在分析了城市价值对城市商 品房价格的影响机制后，笔者利用统计数据对 2007 年全国 35 个大中城市的房价水平和 城市价值进行了协调性分析、相关分析和回归分析，认为房价与城市价值水平之间有显 著的线性关系，在剔除了奇异值后，城市价值水平变量可以解释不同城市间房价差异的 89%。最后得出了一般性结论，并对房地产行业的发展提供了建议。 关键词：城市价值、商品房价格、影响机制、关系 ABSTRACT Clothes,food,housing and traveling is the four basic necessities of human society since ancient times, after the development of Chinese economic for decades, the problem of clothes and food has been solved, but housing is perplexing the development of Chinese economic all the time. Ever since the commercial housing reform 30-years ago, the price of real estate has always been on the rise particularly in recent years, what’s the reason? Under the modern market economy condition, the factors that influence the price of real estate include supply and demand relationship、land price、inflation expectation、income level、economic policy and more, but I think the most fundamental factor is the urban value. The urban value decides the price of the whole city, the transfer of urban value forms the price of real estate, which is an important method and basis to analysis the price level and trend. This paper is divided into five parts: literature review, the content and assessment of urban value, the mechanisms of urban values impacts the price of real estate, empirical analysis, the main conclusions and recommendations. In the literature review, this paper carried on to comb the researches on the factor that influence the price of real estate, and find that most scholars research on single factors