高速公路出行决策信息分析-软件工程专业论文.docxVIP

I I 摘 要 高速公路出行信息服务系统是一种提升高速公路网整体运行效率、满足出行 者出行信息需要的交通服务系统，能够辅助支持出行者在出行前的路线规划。但 是，当前的高速公路出行信息服务系统仅提供了路径信息及分散的动态事件信 息，更多经加工后可以清楚表征备选路线整体性能的决策信息未被提供，用户在 进行路线选择时，不能准确、直观的了解各备选路线整体性能的优劣。基于此， 本文对高速公路出行决策信息的需要、描述及其影响进行研究，以提高信息对出 行者的决策支持作用。 本研究从运输活动参与用户的角色类型分析着手，分析出行者对运输活动品 质的要求，并结合运输要求的道路、交通、环境影响因素，分析出行者在出行前 规划决策时所需要的决策信息类型。通过对已有研究结论的分析，建立路线方案 的安全性、快速性、经济性、舒适性、便利性品质的描述模型结构，参考各指标 运输要求影响规律的已有研究结果，充分考虑描述模型的合理性和可比性，建立 描述模型下各指标的量化计算模型，并运用模糊层次分析法，对各描述模型中因 素层、指标层各元素的权重进行计算。最后，通过分析出行者在不同个人、社会、 经济属性时的出行规律，建立出行者信息关注层次模型。 关键词：高速公路；决策信息；信息需要；信息描述 II II Abstract Travel information service system of expressway is a information system to get the arterial highway network running efficiently, it can provide assistance to people who need to make travel decisions before they start. However, the current travel information service system of expressway only provides the path information and dynamic events, more information that can clearly reveal the performance of the route are not provided. So the users of the travel information service system can’t know well about the performance of route when they make decision before travel. Therefore, in order to improve the effect of the travel information service system, this paper study on the need 、the description methods and the influence of the decision-making information. The paper begin with the analysis of the users’ role in transportation , then analysed the quality demand of the transportation, base on that, combined with the analyzing of the affecting factors from road、traffic and environmental, then got the information needs when travelers make travel decision. By reference to existing research conclusion, analysed the index that can describe the influence of the affecting factors, established the travel trips’ descriptive models structure of accessibility、security、rapidity、economy、comfort、convenience, set up the calculative model of each index, use the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process method, calculated the weight of each element.