沙澧河流域大暴雨的诊断分析与成因研究大气科学气象学专业论文.docxVIP

垂直螺旋度的计算结果显示：两次过程700hPa等压面上正垂直螺旋度中心的 垂直螺旋度的计算结果显示：两次过程700hPa等压面上正垂直螺旋度中心的 移向和强度变化与降水落区及趋势变化有很好的对应关系，大暴雨出现在正垂直 螺旋度中心移动的前方，对流域强降水的产生有一定的指示意义。垂直螺旋度的 时空演变显示，“0705过程中低层正、高层负垂直螺旋度强度变化和“0714 过程正垂直螺旋度的强弱变化与沙澧河流域的降水强度均有很好的对应。 湿位涡诊断分析发现：两次过程均有“干侵入一发生，“0705过程“干侵 入’’较强且到达近地层的位置刚在暴雨区，从而造成暴雨区上空中低层对流不稳 定的维持，同时存在对称不稳定，既可有垂直对流，又可有倾斜对流发生，有利 于强降水发生。而“0714’’过程的“干侵入一相对较弱且到达低层的位置明显偏 南，将暴雨区上空一部分暖湿空气限制在边界层，造成边界层内浅薄的对流不稳 定和不稳定能量的进一步积聚，此外，将另一部分暖湿空气抬升到中层，造成中 层的对流不稳定，同时中层还存在较强的对称不稳定，垂直涡度得到较大增长， 有利于水汽和能量向高层输送，造成暴雨区降水的增幅。 湿Q矢量散度的诊断分析表明，两场大暴雨过程的暴雨落区与900hPa前期湿Q 矢量强辐合区有较好的对应关系，大暴雨出现在湿Q矢量辐合中心移动方向的前 方，且湿Q矢量辐合中心比大暴雨中心提前12小时出现，对暴雨落区预报有一定 的指示意义。 关键词：沙澧河流域大暴雨垂直螺旋度湿位涡湿Q矢量散度诊断分析 5 Ab Ab stract The shal i river area locates central part in Henan，be longing to one part of river val ley in Huaihe．Because the heavy rainfal l occurrence is multifarious，usually resulting in the flood of flood inside the river val ley and river val ley in Huaihe．In order to recognize the heavy rainfal l of the valley and finding out rule and cause of heavy rainfall，this text makes use of the rainfal l from June to August in 1971 and 2006，combining the hydrology data，in carrying on statistics analytical foundation to the weather characteristic，heavy rainfall and the characteristics of the flood of the shali river arem With the shali river area continuously appear of two heavy rainfal l events in July of 2007 for example，based on the data from the conventional and intensive observation，satellite cloud pictures and NCEP 10×10 6h interval reanalysis data，the circulation background，synoptic weather systems and physical quantity of synoptic meteorology，dynamics and thermodynamics of two heavy rainfall events are diagnosed and analyzed detailedly． The common data analyses show that the circulation background and synoptic weather systems both belong to the typical heavy rainfall characteri st ic．The JUL．帕5 heavy rainfal l event was caused by the low-level jet foundation in front of the trough and the northwest of the subtropical high o