基于供需协调的区域水资源优化配置研究-水文学及水资源专业论文.docxVIP

AbstractAbstract Abstract Abstract It is very important and has theoretical meaning and practical value to study the optimal allocation of water resources with the increasingly severe problem of water resources．The optimal allocation ofregional water resources was studied in this dissertation． 11le main contents were summarized as follows： (1)The existing research results of optimal allocation of water resouiv．圮s were summarized by consulting a lot of domestic and overseas literatures．n屺shortcoming of optimal allocation of water reSOurces at present and the research tendency were pointed out based on the sustainable development theory and demand． (2)The content,methods and influence factors of regional water demand prediction wele expounded．nle grey GM(1，1)model based on Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO) Was improved，the solution flow ofthe model Was designed and the improved grey OM(1，1) model Was practically applied to predict the social and economic indexes．The results showed that the improvement Was reasonable．111e buffer operator Was introduced to pretreat original data for the purpose of discussing the consistency between qualitative analysis and quantificational calculating． (3)n嵋concept,characteristic and significance about coordination betweell supply and demand have been analyzed．The notion of‘Coordination Grade Between Supply and Demand”Was introduced and one quantification method of that Was suggested．nle basic concept and principle of the optimal allocation of regi．onal water resources were discussed． Taking month as temporal cell，the multi—objective model for optimal allocation ofregional water resources was established．ne recognition and measurement of social．economic and environmental benefit wffre studied in the model which iS confined by the quantity of the possible water supply,the transportation ability from waterhead to users，the different needs ofusers．equity,sewage eontroling and SO on．111e realizing flow and computing programme ofthe model hav