基于大宗商品价格分析的企业经营策略支持系统-软件工程服务科学专业论文.docxVIP

Abstract 电 嘈 4 -，. With 也e deepening of global integration and economy marketization ，the risk of the price change，which triggered by frequent fluctuations of the worlds major commodities price，hωbeen an important factor that affects production and op町ation of domestic enterprises，meanwhile，由e management and spread price risks wi11 play an important role on steady operation enterprises，which are a1so reco阴ized by corporate administrators. Futures is a hed伊19 fmancial derivatives，and it also plays an important role on enterprises risk management of financia1 derivatives 扭曲 global range. However，in domestic，由e entity is still. a lack of operating platforms to dea1 with price volatility. .?ased on ac阳al situation of enterprises，this thesis aims .at helping ent即risesωfmd 伽e risk positiori of price in production， sales and inventory management ，and making excellent decisions on h创ging，町bitrage and pricing risk control and fmancial portfolio s町vices with the analysis of price trend and the pro叩ective pr创ication of trade 叩ino伽1. This work may help enterprisesωdynamically adjust its production and opera ion plans by me?ns of scientific analysis of the price correlation between futures and 叩ot 部 wel1 as the 民mction in price discovery of fu:阳res and avoiding the spot price risk. In 由is way 也e program on purchase sales and stock which based on a control1ed risk of price change can be created，伽is is the effective application which based on 由e ana1ysis on price ωrrelation between futures and spot. To bui1d 吐le hardware of the sy侃侃，也.e network sωurity via zone of separation is improved，and system sca1abi1ity is provided through h盯dw盯e grading. 丁b build the application layer，this 由esis accomplish data model deployment ∞mponent using the main idea of business intelligence，and achieve SOA framework by web selVice，which provide the possibility for corporation integration. 白白白esis leads the dynamic price variables into ente叩，rise decision. Relying on 由e necess阳y technica1