基于公众角度的垃圾处理项目风险对策研究-环境工程专业论文.docxVIP

华中科技大学硕士学位论文 华 中 科 技 大 学 硕 士 学 位 论 文 II II Abstract In our country, construction and management of MSW experienced the crossover from all constructed and managed by government to industrialization and general adoption of the market principle. During this period, series of fund from society taken in, the change of national policy of politics and economics, improper layout and site selection, immature technology, and also lack of experience in operation, all of these factors would make the projects more complex. One important characteristic of refuse disposal projects is for public benefit. All risks ultimately will be assumed by the public. Now people are more and more critical to the life environment quality, the MSW disposal problem receives more and more peoples attention. The public’s support means a lot to a MSW disposal project and will be a ruler of the government’s performance. Therefore, the study of risk analysis on solid waste management project from the public aspect is very important. In this thesis, the risk existed in BOT financing mode in refuse burning power plant construction is the wanted research object. Firstly, it starts by introducing features of BOT mode, combined with particularity of refuse burning project, then classification of project risk based public aspect is carried out, the risk is divided to 6 classes as external environment risk, prophase risk, construction risk, operation risk, handover risk and irresistible risk. Each class of risk is then subdivided; in conclusion, a systemic risk indicator system is set up. Secondly, according to comparing all different kind of risk analysis method, it strikes up a risk assessment model with AHP giving weight based on compared number given by some specialist worked in different occupation, and fuzzy evaluation is used to evaluate single index, then go along to evaluate the whole project. The outcome includes two highest weight are operation risk and prophase risk, construction risk ranked 3. Th