基于存货质押融资模式的风险评估及其动态博弈分析-物流工程专业论文.docxVIP

浙江理 浙江理工大学硕士学位论文 基于存货质押融资模式的风险评估及其动态博弈分析 万方数据 万方数据 Abstract With the widespread of market competition and development of industrial economy, the competition between modern enterprises is in fact the competition between supply chains. A majority of problems such as the shortage of cash flow and financing difficulty have been troubling many middle and small-sized enterprises since the year 2008, which in the meanwhile also affects the development of related supply chains. In recently years, inventory financing, as an innovative financial instrument, has developed rapidly in our country. This of course to some extent helps us solve the problem caused by the occupation of a large amount of circulating fund. The pattern of Inventory financing coordinates the benefits between core enterprise, bank and middle and small-sized enterprises effectively. At the same time, the storage enterprise also profits a lot in the participation of cargo storage business. This article mainly discusses two corn points of inventory financing patterns. That is the credit risk assessment in middle and small-sized enterprises and the analysis of dynamic game about tripartite optimal decision. Firstly, the credit risk assessment in middle and small-sized enterprises under the pattern of inventory financing has changed a lot compared with the traditional assessment patterns. In addition to analyzing their own business risks of the middle and small-sized enterprises, I shall also analyze the risks of other aspects such as supply chains. Besides, I will also assess the default rate in middle and small-sized enterprises with the help of Logistic model. By empirical analysis，I verify this risk assessment model and calculate the default rate through using SPSS software. Then, under the circumstance that the default rate in middle and small-sized enterprises has been decided, if the quantity demand is the Continuous random variable, three sides make decisions according to the precedence order. The core