基于混沌理论的软件可靠性建模及预测方法研究-计算机应用技术专业论文.docxVIP

Abstract Abstract ABS丁RACT Nowadays ，software has permeated our daily life. lt has become a pa口 of many aspects of our life. Almost every industry，including automobile ，airplane， telecommunication ，finance，pharmacy，etc，needs computer software to ensure normal running. Because of this ever-increasing dependency，software failures can lead to serious，even fatal，consequences in safety-critical systems as well as in normal business. Obviously，the demands for reliable software are increasing. Reliability is one ofthe essential attributions ofthe dependable software，and an important factor for quantitatively characterizing software quality. So，how to estimate the software reliability has become a very important problem. Conventional methodology is Software Relíability Growth Model (SRGM)，which analyzes the essence of the behavior of so仕ware failures，mines the rule and builds a model to estimate the reliability. Most SRGMs specifies the form of a random process that describes the behavior of software failures with respect to time. But is the behavior of so白ware failures complete stochastic? In this paper，we propose a chaotic software reliability model. We argue that the behavior of software failures possesses determinacy as well as randornness and the essence of the behavior of software failures is similar to chaos，which ís determined by rules but behaves irregularity. So we apply chaos theory to so仕飞iVare reliability assessment. Based on chaos theory，we can estimate software reliability according to the objective law hidden in the data， unlike the SRGMs which usual1y makes a number of assumptions. This approach avoids the subjectivity in the SRGMs. Also， we analyze three actual software failures data sets wìth the techniques of chaotic time-series analysis. All of them show the evidence of chaotic dynamics. The results show the feasibility of the proposed method. Key words: chaos，software reliability ，SRGM，chaotic time-series analysis， dete