结构体系可靠度的仿真研究-港口海岸及近海工程专业论文.docxVIP

中文摘要工程绥掏豹安金性、遥鬟瞧鲞l瓣久挂慧称为结梅可靠蛙，其量纯指标为“可 中文摘要 工程绥掏豹安金性、遥鬟瞧鲞l瓣久挂慧称为结梅可靠蛙，其量纯指标为“可 靠废”，它是衡量1：程结构安全性和经济性的综合指标。H前，可靠度研究的基本 的继论襄缀念已经{≥鬻明穗，但是当可靠度分毒厅涉及剩菲线瞧功艇方程、{}歪态分 布变量或省结构体系可靠度的时候，缺少实用算法。在解析法对以一b问题无能为力 的兹景下，本文；l入了“蒙特卡罗”方法，对结构锩系鲍可纛度分携进行数萄薹疆 拟。以历遍为本质思想的蒙特卡罗方法是 嘈十通过对随机变鬣进行随机抽样和统计 分毫慝来求缎阀题近似解的数傻方法。 “仿鬃”是为巢一事物，郧原型，建立具有相间或者相似输入输出性质的模 型，然后用对模型的研究来代替对原型的研究，从丽获得原型有关信患的研究方 法。仿真发展到瑶阶段，主要是指戳系统为研究对象，以诗簿枕技术为依托的系统 数字仿真。它作为一种通用的科学方法，为科学家探索、验诚自然规律提供有力的 工其，氇淹工程筛浚行援翊、设诗撼供重要的依据。 本文进一步拓展了仿真思想的成用，建立了一个用于分析结构体系可靠艘的 “彷寞环魂”，荠羹在箕孛瘫雳蒙褥卡罗方法对“结藕俸系懿可靠寝”迩雩亍了分 析，最后对体系可靠度计算和理解作了新的尝试。 【关键词】 仿真 仿真环境 蒙特卡罗方法 结橡体系彰靠度 隧机黄载 随援结构体系 可靠度的分布 AbstractReliability Abstract Reliability refers to safety，serviceability and durability of an engineering structure and it is a comprehensive index to evaluate the safety and economy of an engineering project．So far,the basic concept and theog on reliability have been quite clear，but when nonlinear performance function and／or abnormal distribution and／or structure system reliability is／are involved，practical method is badly needed．To solve the problem， Monte．carlo method is employed to calculate the reliability of a structure by simulation．By random sampling and statistical analysis，Monte—carlo method provides an approximate solution． Emulation meal-IS substituting model analysis for prototype analysis，under the condition that the model for the prototype and the prototype have the same or similar output character when凌掣are fed the same input．Up to now，system has become the main investigation object and computer technology has become a basic tool for emulation．As a universal method．it offers scientists a powerful tool to explore and validate the laws ofnature，and it also helps engineers to make their layout and design more reasonable． In this dissertation,ail emulation environment is built to analyze the reliability ofstructure systems using Monte-carlo method，and蝴attempt is made to calculate and understand system reliability from a new angle． Keyword： Emulation Emulation