国际碳市场竞争博弈与计量分析-数量经济学专业论文.docxVIP

首都经济贸易大学硕士学位论文 首都经济贸易大学硕士学位论文 国际碳市场竞争博弈与计量分析 ABSTRACT In recent years．carbon emissions trading market is playing an increasingly important role in controlling greenhouse gas emissions．Many countries are actively exploring and promoting the carbon emissions trade，establishing national or regional level carbon emissions trading system，SO the international carbon market competition is becoming increasingly fierce．This article focuses on the Game Theory and Econometrics Research on competitive strategy and effectiveness of the international carbon trading market． This article concludes that the competitive nature of international carbon game process is a game between developed and developing countries．First，according to Paris climate conference process and background knowledge，we propose four international carbon reduction game models for developed and developing countries on specific issues， computing benefits on both sides and benefits from global system under four modes．By comparing the results，the game cooperation mode which means developed countries pay off,is a win-win way．Developed countries should have the ability to provide capital and advanced emission reduction technology to developing countries． Second，estimate efficiency of carbon emission reduction among China,the EU，the US，Japan and Australia with the help of DEA-Malmquist index model，in general the carbon emissions trading system can promote carbon emission reduction，and then by comparing the results ofthe ofbehind． Third，using Matlab and Eviews software to do Joint Wright variance ratio test on EU greenhouse gas emissions trading system，analysis that the effectiveness of carbon trading market has staged characteristics，thus ensuring policy effectiveness and sustainability of international is the key to the effective operation of the carbon market． Similarly,analysis the Chinese carbon trading pilot effectiveness，sum up Shang