基于自记忆原理的深基坑位移预测方法.PDFVIP

27 4 ( ) Vol1 27 No14 2010 12 Journal of Hebei Universi y of Engineering ( Na ural Science Edi ion) Dec12010 : 1673- 9469 ( 2010) 04- 0013- 05 王伟, 谢学斌, 黄 东 ( , 410083) : 传统灰色GM( 1, 1) 预测模型对非负递增时间序列有较好的预测精度, 但对 动幅度较大 的时间序列预测精度较低为了提高预测精度, 本文在趋势曲线模型和自记忆理论的基础上, 建立趋势曲线- 自记忆组合预测模型, 将该模型应用于深基坑位移预测中, 并与灰色GM( 1, 1) 预测模型和趋势曲线预测模型比较, 该模型具有较高的预测精度 : 深基坑; 趋势曲线; 自记忆原理; 位移预测 : TU452 :A Displacemen predic ion me hod of deep founda ion pi based on self- memory heory WANG Wei, XIE Xue- bin , HUANG Dong ( School of Resources and Saf e y Eng ineering, Cen ral Sou h Universi y, Hu. nan Changsha 410083, China) Abstract: Tradi ional gray GM ( 1, 1) predic ion model for non- nega ive incremen al ime series have good predic ion accuracy, bu he predic ion accuracy is no enough for large ampli ude fluc ua ion ime series. In order o improve predic ion accuracy, he rend curve- self- memory combina ion predic ion model is es- ablished based on he rend curve model and he self - memory heory, and he model is applied in he predic ion of he amoun of displacemen of deep founda ion pi , and wi h gray GM ( 1, 1) predic ion model and rend curve predic ion model comparison , he resul s show ha he model has high predic ion accura- cy. Key words: deep founda ion pi ; rend curve; self - memory heory; displacemen predic ion , , [ 1] , , , , ,