流域梯级水电站联合优化调度辅助决策系统研究-工程管理专业毕业论文.docxVIP

ABSTRACT The 由esis takes the establishment of united optimal oper.创ion aid decision system with web-based method for a basin c甜cade plants 描也e objective of 伽is research. With the technologies of intelligence optimization and network information applied into 伽e 部pect of the basin cascade hydropower plants，such as information management ，hydrological forecasting and optimal operation， a comparatively practica1 united optimal operating 创d decision system of the basin cascade hydropow 即 plants was developed. 白山 system can c缸巧， on rational appraisal and optimal decision to the producing operation schemes，and offers thωretical foundation and technica1 support for 由e op町ation scheme of the basin cascade hydropow 臼. plants，which realized intelligence ，informationization and network m创lagement. The main research contents and achievements of the thesis are 制 follows: (1) Aiming at the heterogeneous distribution characteristic of the time-space rainfall and the underground cushion condition in 伽e bas恤， a classifi叫 forecasting method for putting the runoff in怕也.e rese凹0让 was proposed. 机rrough ca:衍抖ng on 也.e time-space ana1ysis to the gathered hydrology series，the wavelet neura1 network forecasting model corresponding to 由e characteristic value variable of the classified forecasting factor collect with the obs即ved values was established ，and the classified reco伊izer of model for according 阳也e different runoff characteristic value searching automatically adapting network model to forecast was designed. Finally:二 inserted the classified forecasting model m臼骂es into mixed model to set up 由e united runoff forecasting model of the res盯voir. Studied systematically the bui1dingmodel methods of the optimal operation model for the basin cascade hydropower plants preded under the condition of market mechanism and a hydropow町 plant produced in the economical op町ation， and presented a set of efficient algorithm to solve the corresponding model.Among them， the soluti