皖南烟叶生产农用天气预报研究.docxVIP

皖南烟叶农用天气预报研究* 李龙 宣城市气象局，农业气象试验站，安徽宣城响山路118号，242000 摘要［目的］为使农用天气预报技术服务于皖南烟叶标准化生产，［方法］宣城市农业气彖试验站根据皖南 烟叶田间管理规程确定的农事活动，通过皖南烟叶生产与天气关系研究，分析农用天气预报的内容及实际 需求。［结果］总结归纳出七种主要预报对象，分别是大棚防雪灾预报、适宜移栽期预报、病虫害防治预报、 消沟排渍预报、灌溉预报、排涝及适宜收获期预报，［结论］提出用皖南烟叶生长夭气关系模型，制作农用 天气预报预报，并编制了皖南烟叶田间生产气彖服务方案，通过掌握烟叶生产布局和追踪烟叶生长动态， 及时开展服务，提出保障烟叶优质生产可行的农事措施，为保障焦甜香风格特色的皖南烟叶优质高产做好 气象服务。 关键词：烟叶；农用夭气预报；服务 The research of agricultural weather forecast for tobacco planting in Wannan area Li Long Agrometeorological Experiment Station, Meteorological Bureau of Xuancheng City, Xuancheng, 242000, China Abstract ［Objective］ Wannan is in the southern part of Anhui province in China. It is a new suitable and potential zone in tobacco production. The tobacco sweet aroma character is outstanding .The development potential is very grea匸 But the weather conditions directly affect tobacco production measures. The farmers must depend on the weather for. their field management, The research aimed to study the best way of agriculture weather forecast for tobacco standardization production in Wannan area.. ［Method］ According to the regulations of farming activities in tobacco field, Xuancheng agrometeorological experiment station analyzes the actual needs and. contents of agricultural weather forecast in tobacco planting. ［ResultsJThe seven main forecast products are concluded. They are severe snow forecast, suitable transplanting period forecast, the weather forecast for pests and diseases controlling, the chilling and drainage forecast, the irrigation forecast, the water logging controlling and harvest forecast. ［Conclusion］ The tobacco agricultural meteorological index system and forecast methods are constructed with Wannan tobacco grow -weather model The service plan is also made. By tracking tobacco growth and weather change, the agrometeorological forecasts should be put forward timely. ?妹金项H科技部公益行业(气象)专项“农用天气预报关键技术研究” (GYHY200906021) 作者简介：李龙(1963-),男，安徽芜湖人，工程师，硕?上，从事应用气象研究，E-miaI: sohulilong@ Key words: tobacco ； agricultur