Q4英语四六级雅思托福考研GRE高考GMAT大小作文宝典策略技巧范文模板.docVIP

平均，中年人39%的支出贡献给DS，青年人只有25%的支出贡献给DS。 未来十年中年人会增加，因此我们可以预计DS的销售会大幅增加。为了更好地迎合这个趋势，我们应该把面向青年人的商品替换为面向中年人的商品。 作者【可能的】逻辑思路 1 为啥用39% 25% ——中年人“支出比例多于青年人”——中年人【对于DS是重要消费群体】比Y —— 2 为啥要说中年人增加的预测—— 3 为啥要换商品—— STP 1 CONCLUSION STP 2............... STP 3 1 M 39 vs 25[基数] IMPLICATATION M Y P [模板] EVALUTATION M 39% 1000￥ Y 25% 10000￥ 所以 M Y——不应更换产品 1 On avr[范围变化] 39% 1000 25% 1000人均 ——比人数 M 1000 Y 10000【计算。。。。。。。。】—— 2 M Expenditure I 作者认为 EXP 是决定 重要消费群体的 因素 尺度 P 偷换 E 1 SALE 而不是 EXP 虽然 39 25. 但是 Y M 1000000 Sales EXP 5000 120% 20000 20% 3 Next decade外推 作者认为事务的性质在一段时间之内 不变 I M 在未来一定会增长，因此会一直扮演最重要消费群体的角色。 P 外推错误/假设错误 E 1 M 减少——经济萧条、战争。。。。。 2 M增加 但是 Y 增长更快 If 1 or 2 发生， M 可能就不是最重要消费群体，更换商品就没有好处了 M Sales increase 无因果 I 中年人—— 一定去DS消费 P E 中年人不去DS消费 Change products 目光短浅不考虑正负得失 即使青年人真不如中年人，但是可能青年人的贡献比重不低。 M The argument originated from a survey showing that M devote 39 percent of their expenditure to DS, while the percentage of Y customers was merely 25. I In citing this, the author intended to inform us that M is a far more important/significant client group to DS than Y ones. P However, lacking further assumptions to support the logical line, the evidence is disqualified to indicate the product-changing plan. E Consider, for example, M devote 1000 Dollars per month on their shopping list, while Y distribute approximately 5000 Dollars for their monthly purchase. If this situation is true, then Y would surely play a more important role than M in local retail market, therefore, the suggestion that Y products be replaced by M products would be inappropriate. 关于外推错误的分析： M Based on this inadequate statistical data, the author went on to predict that M people would increase dramatically within the coming decade. I The readers are obliged to believe, in this part, that the originally important consumer group, M people, would cont