国际战略研究中心-俄罗斯对华军事转移的性质变化及其影响（英文）-2021.6-8页.pdfVIP

JUNE 2021 The Changing Nature and Implications of Russian Military Transfers to China By Paul Schwartz Executive Summary Russian-Chinese military transfers have increased sharply since 2015. These have been highlighted by a series of important arms transactions, including landmark contracts in 2015 for the sale of Su-35 combat aircraft and S-400 air defense systems worth $5 billion, followed by a series of important transactions involving the transfer of helicopters, submarine technology, and aircraft engines. Joint technology projects have been especially important due to their expansion into new areas such as missile defense, taking on greater strategic importance. Together with an increase in combined exercises, joint air patrols, and key leader engagements, the resumption of large-scale arms transfers has contributed to a growing military convergence between Russia and China while enhancing their strategic partnership. These transfers are also advancing China’s military expansion in the western Pacific, helping to tilt the regional balance more in China’s favor. The resumption of large-scale arms transf ers has contributed to a growing military convergence between Russia and China while enhancing their strategic partnership. Alongside these notable signs of progress, however, there are contrary signs as well, indicating that bilat- eral arms trade is considerably more complicated for Russia. For one, Russia had to relax strictures on the transfer of advanced military systems and technology to revive arms trade with China after a decade-long slowdown starting in 2006. Likewise, Russian arms sales are giving way to technology transfers, raising costs for Russia in terms of future export revenues as China seeks to advance its defense industry. China’s Paul Schwartz | 1 re