纺织行业相关知识的讲义(英文版).pptVIP

Module 5: Estimating Risk EMV: Most Popular Quantitative Tools for Risk Analysis (PMBOK p139) Statistical independence: Used for EMV and decision trees. Tossing a coin. Events are independent of each other. Expected monetary value: Impacted by risk proneness or risk aversiveness Amount Value Probability Of Winning EMV $50 .01 $.50 $2 .10 $.20 0 .89 $.00 Total 1.00 $.70 * * 第三十一页，共六十二页。 Module 6: The Work Breakdown Structure Project Scheduling BasicsObjectives Work breakdown structure – details of construction and benefits WBS as basis for costing WBS as basis for scheduling Scheduling basics * * 第三十二页，共六十二页。 Module 6: The Work Breakdown StructureWork Breakdown Structure defines the Scope of the Project We love the WBS Heart of the project planning and definition effort. Technique for breaking down the project into its component elements. Not mandatory but important No hard or fast rules about putting it together. Not a a scheduling tool Does not show dependencies * * 第三十三页，共六十二页。 Module 6: The Work Breakdown StructureWork Breakdown Structure Benefits Shows the project visually Builds the team Focuses on deliverables Forces planning and methodology Identifies work packages and groups of activities Serves as the basis for scheduling, cost, spec details, performance measurement, metrics. * * 第三十四页，共六十二页。 Module 6: Project Scheduling Estimating Considerations: How Long is Time? Working time or work days Productive time Elapsed time Productivity level Continuous duration Duration interruptible * * 第三十五页，共六十二页。 Module 6: Project Scheduling Schedule Supporting Detail Responsibility assignment matrix. Activities and whose is responsible. Resource spreadsheet. Effort needed from each resource during each time period. Resource Gantt chart. When each resource is scheduled per task. Resource histogram. Alternative schedules Scheduled contingency reserves. * * 第三十六页，共六十二页。 Module 6: Project Scheduling Other Scheduling Considerations Resource Leveling Adds