国际关系专业英语.ppt

* 国际关系专业英语 第1页，共33页。 Samuel P. Huntington What is the fundamental source of conflict in the world today? Samuel P. Huntington, professor at Harvard University, believes that it “will not be primarily ideological or primarily economic. The great divisions among humankind and the dominating source of conflict will be cultural. Nation-states will remain the most powerful actors in world affairs, but the principal conflicts of global politics will occur between nations and groups of different civilizations. The clash of civilizations will dominate global politics. The fault lines between civilizations will be the battle lines of the future.”11 第2页，共33页。 Samuel P. Huntington Does contemporary international politics fit any of these three models? Huntington’s answer is no. It is instead “a strange hybrid, a uni-multipolar system with one superpower and several major powers,”12 because the settlement of key international issues requires action by the single superpower but always with some combination of other major states, and because the single superpower can veto action on key issues by combinations of other states. According to Huntington, the world can be divided into several levels. 第3页，共33页。 Robert Kagan Overall, the much-heralded return of a multipolar world of roughly equal great powers, akin to that which existed before World War II, (世界要回到多极时代，即大致相当于第二次世界大战前的世界格局的呼声至少已有几十年了。)[1]has been delayed for at least a few more decades. Absent some unexpected dramatic change, the international system will continue to be that of one superpower and several great powers, or as the late Samuel P. Huntington called it, “uni-multipolarity.” （赞同亨廷顿的观点：世界呈单多极状态。） [1] Robert Kagan, “A Changing World Order?” The Washington Post, November, 16, 2013, /opinions/a-changing-world-order/2013/11/15/4ce39d1a-489a-11e3-b6f8-3782ff6cb769_story.html. 第4页，共33页。 Samuel P. Huntington What does the United States prefer? Huntington believes that the United States would clearly prefer a unipola