模块4练习解决方案.pdfVIP

Module 5 – Practice Solutions Security check SC1. Probability to make it past the gate: 0.5*0.1*0.7=0.035 SC2. Probability to board: 0.035*0.05*0.01 (those are the bad guys that are inspected, but not caught) + 0.035*0.95 (those are the bad guys that are not inspected) = 0. + 0.03325 = 0. Cardiac ICU CICU1. A age patient will spend 0.8*5 + 0.2*13 =6.6 days in the ICU during their first visit. For 95% of the patients, there is no additional visit. For the other 5%, we have to add another 13 days = 6.6 + 0.05*13=7.25 days CICU2. To find the bottleneck, we have to look at m/p. For the ICU: 12/7.25 = 1.6551 For the ward: 18/4.2= 4.2857 (note: s e 5% of the patients will be going through the ward twice, the processing time there is 4.2 o age: 0.95*4 + 0.05*8) So the bottleneck is the ICU (lower capacity). CICU3. The hospital can have a age of 1.65 surgeries a day in the OR. CICU4. Answer: (b). If you factor in variability, that number goes down, because you have to hold some safety capacity. Assembly Tolerances AT1. Capability Score = (110.55-110.45) / (6*0.05) = 0.333 AT2. What is the probability that the p oo large? This is 1- Normdist(110.55,110.5,0.05,1)=0.1586 What is the probability that that the p oo small? This is Normdist(110.45,110.5,0.05,1)=0.1586 So the defect probability is: 2*0.1586 = 0.3173 AT3. To get the new standard deviation, we solve: (110.55-110.45) / (6*stdev) = 5/3 = stdev = 0.01 模块 5 –实践解决方案安全检查 SC1.过闸概率：0.5*0.1*0.7=0.035 SC2.登机概率：0.035*0.05*0.01（被检查但未被抓到的 ）+0.035*0.95（未被检查的 ）=0. +0.03325 =0. 心脏 ICU CICU1.平均一个 第一次就诊在 ICU 的时间为 0.8*5+0.2*13=6.6 天。对于 95%的患者，没有额外的就诊。 对于另外 5%的患者， 须添加其他 13 天=6.6 +0.05*13=7.25 天 CICU2。要找到瓶颈， 须看 m/p。对于 ICU：12/7.25 =1.6551 对于 ：18/4.2= 4.2857（注：因为 5%的 会经过 两次，平均处理时间有 4.2：0.95*4 +0.05*8)所以瓶颈是 ICU（容量较低）。CICU3。 医院 OR 中平均每天可以做 1.65 例手术。CIC