海南省进出口贸易与经济增长关系实证研究.pdfVIP

摘 要 推动一个国家或地区的经济增长是对外贸易最重要的功能。回顾近代以来实现 经济腾飞的国家，国际贸易几乎都起到了“加速器”的作用。从海南的经济发展历 程来看，也基本上反映了这一事实，改革开放后海南经济发展明显好于之前，经济 增幅明显提高。本文围绕上述主题，运用1987-2006年的统计数据，对海南省对外贸 易与经济增长关系进行实证分析。本文共分五个章节论述。第一章为导论，阐述选 题的目的和意义、研究方法、研究思路以及本文的新意。第二章对对外贸易与经济 增长关系的相关理论和观点进行综合述评。第三章从贸易总量、商品结构、贸易方 式、地理分布等方面对海南省对外贸易宏观特点进行全面分析。第四章则是运用计 量方法和模型及海南省统计数据，对海南省对外贸易与经济增长之间的关系进行实 证分析。第五章主要论述海南省对外贸易快速发展的原因、发展中存在的问题及相 应的政策建议。 关键词:对外贸易 经济增长 实证分析 I Abstract In retrospect of those countries that have realized quick economic growth in recent years, international trade has always played the important role of a propeller. Global economic growth always proves the conclusion. Hainans economic development path also demonstrates such a fact. That is, since economic reform, economic development speed is evidently quicker than before and the economic growth rate enhanced greatly. This paper involves five parts. Chapter 1: The introduction of background, significance, content and research techniques, as well as some problems and possible fresh ideas of this paper. Chapter 2: The introduction of studies on the relationship between foreign trade and growth including some summarizations and comments. Chapter 3: The quantitative analysis of volume, structure, overseas market of foreign trade in Hainan. Chapter 4: The positive analysis of the relationship between the foreign trade and growth in Hainan. It is the core of this paper. In this chapter many econometric models and methods have been used. Chapter 5: Some proposals on how to improve the contributions on the foreign trade to economy in Hainan. Keyword: foreign trade, economi