经济发达地区人口-土地-经济城镇化的协调性研究--以长三角地区为例.pdfVIP

between the population and the land urbanization is generally poor and most of the cities have transformed from rapid land urbanization to the rapid population one. The economy and the land urbanization have been concerted and in the assonant areas, the economic development is slower than the outspread rate of construction land. But cities of different size also exhibit different fluctuation in different phases; 2) many cities have the coordination problems in each period and these problems are of different types; 3) from the entire study period, a few cities show the coordination among population, economy and land urbanization. But for the other cities, the land urbanization were mainly more rapid than population one. It concludes that the lack of coordination between the population and land urbanization is not available in all regions; according to the coordination analysis among the population, economy and land, we can easily find the coordination problems in the process of the regional urbanization. Differentiated policies should be taken to improve the quality of the urbanization in different problem regions. Key words: land urbanization; population urbanization; economy development; coordination; Yangtze River Delta Region 城镇化是农村人口不断向城镇转移，二、三产业不断向城镇聚集，城镇规模不断扩大的历史过程[1] ，也是 人类社会经济发展的必经之路。当前，我国已进入工业化与城镇化的关键时期，2012 年 12 月中央明确提出“积 极稳妥推进城镇化，着力提高城镇化质量”的任务，2013 年 11 月十八届三中全会提出“建立以人为本的城镇化”， 并“完善城镇化健康发展机制体制” 。虽然自改革开放以来，中国在经济发展及城镇化方面取得了巨大成就，但 在城镇化质量方面还存在不少问题，例如，2000-2010 年间，我国人口城市化速度与城市建成区面积年均增长 2 ，城市用地-人口扩张弹性系数达 1.85，城市用地无序蔓延，大大违背了循序渐进 分别达到了 1.37%和 1762km 的原则[2, 3] 。因此，如何协调我国土地城镇化与人口及经济发展的关系，成为当前推进我国新型城镇化的重要命 题。 在土地城镇化方面，学者们从土地与人口、经济城镇化协调性、城镇用地扩张驱动机制、城镇土地利用效 率等方面开展了大量研究[1, 4-8] 。其中，在城镇化协调性方面，学者们更多关注某一整个研究时段土地与人口城 镇化之间的协调关系或经济与土地城镇化的关系，或者通过构建指标体系对区域土地城镇化与社会经济发展的 协调度进行评价。然而，城镇化的内涵包括土地城镇化、人口城镇化、经济城镇化和社会城镇化[9]，但已有研 究建立的指标体系能否真正反映城镇化水平有待商榷，土地-人口-经济城镇化协调性的时空差异也未得到全面 反映，这不利于城镇化规律的认识及问题区