山西省人口发展状况和其存在问题分析.pdfVIP

生垦墨型苎堂堡!：!!生堡茎 一 Analysis of Population Development State and Existent Problems in Shanxi Province Abstract Objective：On the basis of five censuses in Shanxi province，the changing tendency of population quantity，quality and the type of population structure was analyzed to find out the problems in population development of Shanxi province and provide a basis for working out population and planned parenthood policies and macroscopic control of population quantity and improvement of population quality． Methods：L 1)The changing tendency of population quantity and composition during 47 years(1953-2000)in Shanxi province was analyzed with descriptive method．(2)Using SAS8 2 software．the Shanxi province population abridged“fe tables for years 1982，1990 and 2000 were drew up and used to calculate the life expectancy of each age group(3)The physical quality of Iit-e index(PQLI)was used as analyzing population quality(4)Based on the 5th censtls data。by SPSS 1 1 5 software，cluster analysis on 1 1 district was made(5)The Spearman’s rank correlation between life expectancy and environmental quality in part cities and towns of Shanxi province was analyzed． Results：(I)From all previous census results，the population has been increased continuously,but the annual average increase rate has presented decrease tendencyExcept the third census in 1 982，in all census years the annual average population natural increase rates exceed the national level．(2)Crude birth rate，crude death rate，natural increase rate have presented decrease tendency The model of population development was low birth rate．10w mortality rate and low growing rate in 2000．(3)Chang of age constitution appeared，population pyramid shifted gradually from increasing type to decreasing type，getting in the senile type from 2003．Compare to whole country，the total dependency ratio and dependency ratio of children below age 1 5)：ears were higher，dependency ratio of elderly people over 64 years was lower(4) Sex ratio of total popu