基于层次全息模型的农业土地利用环境风险识别.pdfVIP

生态与农村环境学报 2013 , 29 (3): 364 - 369 loumal of Ecology and Rural Environment 基于层次全息模型的农业土地利用环境风险识别 卓 东，主IJ 黎明①，起晓星，文IJ 朝旭，袁承程 (中国农业大学资源与环境学院，北京 l∞193 ) 摘要:提出了基于层次全息模型(HHM)框架识别农业土地利用环境风险的方法:通过构建农业土地利用环境风 险识别的 HHM 框架，从多维度描述农业土地利用过程中存在的 9 大类别风险源，并应用双重标准风险矩阵方法 对各类别风险源进行初步筛选、过滤和分级;在此基础上，依据多重准则标准和定量化风险矩阵进一步对各个环 境风险因子进行定量评估。以湖南省桃江县为例，应用 HHM 风险识别方法对该县农地利用的环境风险进行系统 识别，结果表明桃江县农地利用的主要环境风险源包括重金属污染、水体富营养化、污水灌溉和工厂排污。 关键词:农业土地利用;层次全息模型(HHM) ;风险识别;农业环境风险 中图分类号: X821; S181 文献标志码:A 文章编号: 1673 -4831(2013)03 -0364 -06 Environmental Risk Identification of Agricultural Land Use ?ased on Hierarchical Holographic Modeling (HHM) Method.ZHUO Do呀 ， UU Li-mi晤 ， QI Xiao-xing , LlU Zhαo-xu ， YUAN Cheng-cheng (College of Resources and Environmental Sciences , China Agricultural University , Beijing 100193 , China) Abstract: Hierarchical holographic modeling (HHM) method was applied to analyze and identify environmental risks of agricultural land uses from the perspective of land use systern. Through creating HHM frarnework for environrnental risk i- dentification of agriculturalland use , 9 rn句。r groups of risk sources we陀 described from a rnultiple dirnensional angle , and screened , filtered and graded using a dual-standard risk matrix. On such a basis and the rnulti-criterion standard and quantitative risk rnatrix , the various environrnent risk factors were further evaluated quantitatively. In the end , Taojiang County of Hunan Province was se!ected as a case for study , and environmental risks of the agricultural land use of the county were systernatically identified using the HHM method. Results show that heavy rnetal pollution , water body eutroph- ication , sewage irrigation and factory pollution discharge are the prirnary environrnental risks of the agricultural land use in the study area , to which rnore atlention should be paid in environrnental risk warning and prevention. Key words: agricultural land use; hierarchical holographic rnodeling (HHM); risk identification; agri