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Copula-based downscaling of spatial rainfall a proof of concept.doc

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Copula-based downscaling of spatial rainfall a proof of concept

Hydrol.EarthSyst.Sci.Discuss.,8,207–241,2011 /8/207/2011/ doi:10.5194/hessd-8-207-2011 Hydrology and Earth System Sciences HESSD 8,207–241,2011 Discussions ?Author(s)2011.CCAttribution3.0License. Copula-based downscalingof spatialrainfall Thisdiscussionpaperis/hasbeenunderreviewforthejournalHydrologyandEarth SystemSciences(HESS).Pleaserefertothecorresponding?nalpaperinHESS ifavailable. M.J.vandenBergetal. Copula-baseddownscalingofspatial rainfall: aproofofconcept TitlePage Abstract Conclusions Tables Introduction References Figures M.J.vandenBerg ,S.Vandenberghe ,B.DeBaets ,andN.E.C.Verhoest1 1 1 2 1LaboratoryofHydrologyandWaterManagement,GhentUniversity,Coupurelinks653,9000 Ghent,Belgium 2DepartmentofAppliedMathematics,BiometricsandProcessControl,GhentUniversity, Coupurelinks653,9000Ghent,Belgium J J I I Received:23December2010–Accepted:29December2010–Published:13January2011 Correspondenceto:M.J.vandenBerg(martinus.vandenberg@ugent.be) Back Close FullScreen/Esc PublishedbyCopernicusPublicationsonbehalfoftheEuropeanGeosciencesUnion. Printer-friendlyVersion InteractiveDiscussion 207 Abstract HESSD Fine-scalerainfalldataisimportantformanyhydrologicalapplications.However,often theonlydataavailableisatacoarsescale.Tobridgethisgapinresolution,stochastic disaggregationmethodscanbeused. Suchmethodsgenerallyassumethatthedis- tributionofthe?eldisstationary, i.e.thedistributionfortheentire(?ne-scale)?eldis the same as the distribution of a smaller region within the ?eld. This assumption is generally incorrect and we provide the proof of concept of a method to estimate the distributionofasmallerregion.Inthismethod,acopulaisusedtoconstructabivariate distributiondescribingtherelationbetweenthescales.Thisdistributionisthenusedto 8,207–241,2011 Copula-based downscalingof spatialrainfall 5 M.J.vandenBergetal. 10 estimatethedistributionofthe?ne-scalerainfallwithinasinglecoarse-scalepixel,by conditioningonthecoarse-scalerainfalldepth. TitlePage 1 Introduction Abstract