Background Solar Irradiance and the Climate of the Earth in the End of the 20th Century英文文献资料.docVIP

Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, 2012, 2, 191-195 191 /10.4236/acs.2012.22019 Published Online April 2012 (http://www.SciRP.org/journal/acs) Background Solar Irradiance and the Climate of the Earth in the End of the 20th Century Maxim Ogurtsov , Markus Lindholm , Risto Jalkanen 1,2 3 3 1 Ioffe Physico-Technical Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, St. Petersburg, Russia General Astronomical Observatory at Pulkovo, St. Petersburg, Russia Metla, Rovaniemi, Finland Email: maxim.ogurtsov@mail.ioffe.ru 2 3 Received January 13, 2012; revised February 26, 2012; accepted March 9, 2012 ABSTRACT The possible response of global climate to the changes of background radiation derived from satellite measurement during 1983-2001 is analyzed. Estimation is made by means of one-dimensional energy-balance climatic model. It is –2 shown that the increase of the global surface radiation by 3 W × m through 1983-2001 should result in a correspond- ing rise of temperature, which exceeds the actual observed values by 0.6?C - 2.0?C. Possible causes of such disagree- ment are discussed. Keywords: Climate; Solar Irradiance 1. Introduction Change in background solar radiation through 1983- 2001 causes a positive radiative forcing ranging from 3 It is generally agreed that the global warming of recent decades is caused primarily by anthropogenic increase of greenhouse gases concentration [1,2]. However, not only human-made variations of atmospheric composition in- fluence global climate. Changes in the climate of the Earth depend evidently on the background solar irradi- ance, i.e. on the amount of shortwave solar radiation in- coming into the atmosphere and the fraction of this ra- diation, which is reflected back to the space. Recent evi- dence show that solar radiation incident at the Earth’s W × m value of climat