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Robust Time Estimation Reconciles Views of the Antiquity of Placental Mammals 英文参考文献
RobustTimeEstimationReconcilesViewsofthe
AntiquityofPlacentalMammals
YasuhiroKitazoe1*,HirohisaKishino2,PeterJ.Waddell2,3,NoriakiNakajima1,TakahisaOkabayashi1,TeruakiWatabe1,YoshiyasuOkuhara1
1CenterofMedicalInformationScience,KochiMedicalSchool,Nankoku,Kochi,Japan,2GraduateSchoolofAgriculturalandLifeSciences,University
ofTokyo,Tokyo,Japan,3SouthCarolinaCancerCenter(SCCC),UniversityofSouthCarolina,Columbia,SouthCarolina,UnitedStatesofAmerica
Background. Molecular studies have reported divergence times of modern placental orders long before the Cretaceous–
Tertiary boundary and far older than paleontological data. However, this discrepancy may not be real, but rather appear
becauseoftheviolationofimplicitassumptionsintheestimationprocedures,suchasnon-gradualchangeofevolutionaryrate
and failure to correct for convergent evolution. Methodology/Principal Findings. New procedures for divergence-time
estimation robust to abrupt changes in the rate of molecular evolution are described. We used a variant of the
multidimensionalvectorspace(MVS)proceduretotakeaccountofpossibleconvergentevolution.Numericalsimulationsof
abrupt rate change and convergent evolution showed good performance of the new procedures in contrast to current
methods.Applicationtocompletemitochondrialgenomesidentifiedmarkedrateaccelerationsanddecelerations,whichare
notobtainedwithcurrentmethods. Therootofplacentalmammalsisestimatedtobe ,18millionyearsmorerecent than
whenassumingalogBrownianmotionmodel.CorrectingthepairwisedistancesforconvergentevolutionusingMVSlowers
theageoftherootaboutanother20millionyearscomparedtousingstandardmaximumlikelihoodtreebranchlengths.These
twoprocedurescombinedrevisetheroottimeofplacentalmammalsfromaround122millionyearsagotocloseto84million
yearsago.Asaresult,theestimateddistributionofmoleculardivergencetimesisbroadlyconsistentwithquantitativeanalysis
of the North American fossil recordand traditional morphological views. Conclusions/Significance. By including the du
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