Scenario Planning to Address Critical Uncertainties for Robust and Resilient Water–Wastewater Infrastructures under Conditions of Water Scarcity and Rapid Development 英文参考文献.docVIP

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Scenario Planning to Address Critical Uncertainties for Robust and Resilient Water–Wastewater Infrastructures under Conditions of Water Scarcity and Rapid Development 英文参考文献.doc

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Scenario Planning to Address Critical Uncertainties for Robust and Resilient Water–Wastewater Infrastructures under Conditions of Water Scarcity and Rapid Development 英文参考文献

Water 2012, 4, 848-868; doi:10.3390/w4040848 OPEN ACCESS water ISSN 2073-4441 /journal/water Article Scenario Planning to Address Critical Uncertainties for Robust and Resilient Water–Wastewater Infrastructures under Conditions of Water Scarcity and Rapid Development Christopher A. Scott 1,2,*, Christopher J. Bailey 1,3, Ralph P. Marra 4, Gwendolyn J. Woods 5, Kerri-Jean Ormerod 2 and Kevin Lansey 6 1 Udall Center for Studies in Public Policy, The University of Arizona, 803 East 1st Street, Tucson, AZ 85719, USA 2 School of Geography Development, The University of Arizona, P.O. Box 210076, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA; E-Mail: ormerod@ 3 School of Landscape Architecture and Planning, The University of Arizona, 803 East 1st Street, Tucson, AZ 85719, USA; E-Mail: cbailey26@ 4 SouthWest Water Resources Consulting, LLC, 2511 East 8th Street, Tucson, AZ 85716, USA; E-Mail: ralph.marra@ 5 Department of Chemical and Environmental Engineering, The University of Arizona, 1133 East James E. Rogers Way, Harshbarger 108, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA; E-Mail: gjwoods@ 6 Department of Civil Engineering and Engineering Mechanics, The University of Arizona, PO Box 210072, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA; E-Mail: lansey@ * Author to whom correspondence should be addressed; E-Mail: cascott@; Tel.: +1-520-626-4393. Received: 13 September 2012; in revised form: 9 October 2012 / Accepted: 29 October 2012/ Published: 5 November 2012 Abstract: Ensuring water availability for multiple needs represents a sustainable development challenge globally. Rigid planning for fixed water supply and reuse targets with estimated demand growth and static assumptions of water availability can prove inflexible in responding to changing conditions. Formal methods to adaptively respond to these challenges are needed, particularly in regions with limited natural resources and/or where multiple uncertain forces can influence water-resource availability and supply reliability. This paper assesses the applicati