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SeasonalRainfallandRunoffPromoteCoralDiseaseon
anInshoreReef
JessicaHaapkyla¨1,2*,RichardK.F.Unsworth3,MikeFlavell1,DavidG.Bourne2,BrittaSchaffelke2,BetteL.
Willis1
1ARCCentreofExcellenceforCoralReefStudies,SchoolofMarineandTropicalBiology,JamesCookUniversity,Townsville,Australia, 2AustralianInstituteofMarine
Science,Townsville,Australia,3BiologicalSciencesResearchUnit,UniversityofGlamorgan,Pontypridd,UnitedKingdom
Abstract
Background: Decliningwaterqualitycoupledwiththeeffectsofclimatechangearerapidlyincreasingcoraldiseaseson
reefsworldwide,althoughlinksbetweencoraldiseasesandenvironmentalparametersremainpoorlyunderstood.Thisis
thefirststudytodocumentacorrelationbetweencoraldiseaseandwaterqualityonaninshorereef.
Methodology/PrincipalFindings:Thetemporaldynamicsofthecoraldiseaseatramentousnecrosis(AN)wasinvestigated
over two years within inshore populations of Montipora aequituberculata in the central Great Barrier Reef, in relation to
rainfall,salinity,temperature,watercolumnchlorophylla,suspendedsolids,sedimentation,dissolvedorganiccarbon,and
particulatenitrogen,phosphorusandorganiccarbon.Overall,meanANprevalencewas10-foldgreaterduringsummerwet
seasonsthanwinterdryseasons.A2.5-foldgreatermeandiseaseabundancewasdetectedduringthesummerof2009(44
6SE6.7diseasedcoloniesper25m2),whenrainfallwas1.6-foldgreaterthaninthesummerof2008.Twowaterquality
parameters explained 67% of the variance in monthly disease prevalence in a Partial Least Squares regression analysis;
disease abundance was negatively correlated with salinity (R2=20.6) but positively correlated with water column
particulate organic carbon concentration (R2=0.32). Seasonal temperature patterns were also positively correlated with
diseaseabundance,butexplainedonlyasmallportionofthevariance.
Conclusions/Significance:Theresultssuggestthatrainfallandassociatedrunoffmayfacilitateseasonaldiseaseoutbreaks,
potentiallybyreducinghostfitnessorbyincreasingpathogenvirulenceduetohigheravailabilityofnutrientsando
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