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Statistical methods and the subjective basis of scientific knowledge 英文参考文献.doc

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Statistical methods and the subjective basis of scientific knowledge 英文参考文献

methods and the subjective BERNARD there is no science. Claude (Translated from French and commented by Professor Daniel Gianola; received April 6, 1999) Preamble - When the Editor of Genetics, Selection, Evolution asked me to translate this paper by the late Professor Gustave MALECOT into French, I felt flattered and intimidated at the same time. The paper was extensive and This is undoubtedly one of the most brilliant and clear statements in favor of the Bayesian position that I have encountered, specially considering that it was published in 1947! Here, science, mathematics, statistics and, more fundamentally, a criticism of the points of view advanced by FISHER and by of logic, to articulate connection with statistical inference. He argues in a convincing (this is my subjective opinion!) manner that in the evaluation of hypotheses, speaking in maximum likelihood and the theory of confidence intervals unless BAYES formula is brought into the picture. In particular, his discussion of the two types of errors that arise in the usual dquo;accept/rejectdquo; of the paper. MALECOT argues effectively that it is impossible to calculate the total probability of error unless prior probabilities are brought into the treatment of the problem. This is probably one of the most lucid treatments that I have been able to find in the literature. The CRAMER-RAO lower bound for the variance of an unbiased estimator is audience will be surprised to find that the famous credited to FRECHET, in a paper that this author published in 1943. C.R. had been printed in 1945! The reference given by (FRECHET, 1934) is not accurate, this being probably due to a typographical (or perhaps DARMOIS) the entire statistical community should be alerted, In France refer to the FRECHET-DARMOIS-CRAMER-RAO fact, some statistics books in correctly. texts in English mention the CRAMER-RAO lower bound or the dquo;information On a personal note, I view this paper Bayesian quantita