effect of spatial scale on modeling and predicting mean cavity tree density a comparison of modeling methods空间尺度对建模和预测的影响意味着腔树密度建模方法的比较.pdfVIP

Open Journal of Forestry 2012. Vol.2, No.4, 219-224 Published Online October 2012 in SciRes (http://www.SciRP.org/journal/ojf) /10.4236/ojf.2012.24027 Effect of Spatial Scale on Modeling and Predicting Mean Cavity Tree Density: A Comparison of Modeling Methods 1 2* Stephen S. Lee , Zhaofei Fan 1Department of Statistics, College of Science, University of Idaho, Moscow, USA 2Forest and Wildlife Research Center, Mississippi State University, Starkville, USA * Email: stevel@, zfan@ Received June 5th th st , 2012; revised July 13 , 2012; accepted August 1 , 2012 Cavity trees are integral components of healthy forest ecosystems and provide habitat and shelter for a wide variety of wildlife species. Thus, monitoring and predicting cavity tree abundance is an important part of forest management and wildlife conservation. However, cavity trees are relatively rare and their abundance can vary dramatically among forest stands, even when the stands are similar in most other re- spects. This makes it difficult to model and predict cavity tree density. We utilized data from the Missouri Ozark Forest Ecosystem Project to show that it is virtually impossible to accurately predict cavity tree occurrence for