网络舆情演进规律中的petri建模分析①-计算机系统应用.pdfVIP

计 算 机 系 统 应 用 2013 年 第 22 卷 第 1 期 网络舆情演进规律中的PETRI 建模分析① 杜 锦, 陈光宣 ( 中国人民公安大学, 北京 100038) 摘 要: 通过引入 PETRI 网分析方法, 针对网络舆情事件演进的各种因素, 首先对网络舆情演进规律进行分析探 讨, 将舆情作为一种流的形式进行剖析, 提出“舆情流”概念及其控制模型, 在此基础上, 动态引入网络集群节点 间的关联度变量, 研究基于关联网络的集群组织间舆情流动的一般规律, 提出可以调控网络集群与其他舆论节 点间联系的“舆情关联度过程模型”, 并从新闻学和心理学现象研究中相互借鉴验证, 进而证实模型提出与建立的 合理性. 该模型可以通过舆情演进归纳指导相关系统设计与舆情导控, 为相关行业提供智能支持. 关键词: PETRI 建模; 舆情演进规律; 舆情流控制; 网络集群; 舆情流关联过程控制模型 PETRI Modeling Analysis in the Network Public Opinion Evolvement Regularity DU Jin, CHEN Guang-Xuan (Chinese People’s Public Security University, Beijing 100038, China) Abstract: This paper introduces the PETRI net analysis methods and evolution Internet public opinion events of various factors,analyzing and discussing the evolution regularity Internet public opinion, and public opinion as a form flow analyzes. It proposed the concept of public opinion flow control model. On this basis, it dynamic introduced the associated variable in the network cluster nodes and study the general rules of public opinion between cluster organization associated networkbased mobile. It proposed regulatory network cluster and other opinion between nodes with “public opinion associated with process model”. Verification from study of journalism and psychology at phenomenon of learning from each other, then confirmed the reasonableness of model proposed and established. This model can be summed up by public opinion evolution guidance related system design and public opinion guidance and control, provide intelligent support for related industries. Key words: PETRI modeling; public opinion evolution regularity; public opinion stream control; ne