具有标准发生率和脉冲效应的SIRS传染病模型的分析研究.pdfVIP

摘 要 摘 要 本文考虑不同的脉冲因素，建立了两类具有标准发生率和脉冲效应的 SIRS 传染 病模型，利用脉冲微分方程的 Floquet 理论、非线性分析方法和离散系统的分岔理论， 研究了模型的多种复杂的动力学行为. 第二章建立了一类具有标准发生率且脉冲生育和脉冲接种发生在同一时刻的 SIRS传染病模型，讨论了平凡解、无病周期-1 解的存在性和稳定性，得到了疾病传 播与否的充分条件；接着研究了周期解的跨临界分岔、超临界分岔和倍周期分岔现象， 探讨了参数变化引起的不同类型分岔发生的条件.最后给出数值仿真，得到了与理论 分析相吻合的相图与分岔图. 考虑发生在不同时刻的脉冲生育和脉冲接种两种因素，第三章给出了一类具有标 准发生率和脉冲扰动的 SIRS 传染病模型，得到了渐近稳定的平凡解、无病周期-1解 的存在性充分条件；分析了无病周期解的跨临界分岔和倍周期分岔现象，得到了系统 发生分岔的充分条件. 最后数值仿真验证了理论分析的结果. 关键词：SIRS 传染病模型；标准发生率；脉冲；周期解；分岔 II Abstract Abstract Considering different kinds of impulsive factors, two epidemic models with standard incidence rate and impulsive effects are established in this paper. The complex dynamical behavior of these models is studied by means of Floquet theory of impulsive differential equation, nonlinear analytic method, and bifurcation theory of discrete dynamical system. An SIRS epidemic model with standard incidence rate, birth pulse and pulse vaccination is considered in Chapter 2. The existence and stability of the infection-free period-1 solution and the trivial solution are investigated. The sufficient conditions for a disease to be extinct or endemic are obtained. The transcritical bifurcation, supercritical bifurcation and period-doubling bifurcation phenomena of the periodic solutions are studied. The conditions for the existence of different types of bifurcations are discussed. Moreover, numerical simulation is given to verify the theoretical analysis. A class of SIRS epidemic model with standard incidence rate, birth pulse, and pulse vaccination is considered in Chapter 3, where birth pulse and pulse vaccinati