广东省不同等级小时强降水时空特征分析.docVIP

广东省不同等级小时强降水时空特征分析 孙喜艳 伍志方 梁巧倩 沈平 广东省气象台(南海海洋气象预报中心) 广东省防汛防旱防风总指挥部办公室 广东省仁化县南岭生态气象中心 X 关注成功！ 加关注后您将方便地在 我的关注中得到本文献的被引频次变化的通知！ 新浪微博 腾讯微博 人人网 开心网 豆瓣网 网易微博 摘????要： 把小时雨量大于等于20 mm的降水定义为小时强降水。小时强降水由于降水强度大、短时内雨量累计多, 常带来城市内涝、交通堵塞等影响, 造成山地丘陵等地区出现滑坡、山洪、泥石流等灾害。利用广东省自动气象站、国家气象站小时降水资料, 分析广东汛期 (4—9月份) 小时强降水变化特征。结果发现:小时强降水多出现在广东3个多雨区域内;5月份是高发期, 其次是6月和8月;8月份小时强降水的日变化是双峰结构, 汛期其余月份日变化均呈现单峰结构;每天13至19时是小时强降水出现的集中时间段, 16时出现小时强降水次数最多;小时强降水多出现在粤西云雾山、粤东莲花山山脉南侧、清远南部和珠江口等地区, 跟山脉走向基本一致。 关键词： 小时强降水; 频次; 时空特征; 地质灾害; 喇叭口地形; 作者简介：孙喜艳 (1983-) , 男, 工程师, 硕士, 主要从事灾害天气预报、服务与研究.E-mail 作者简介：伍志方 (1964-) , 女, 正研级高工, 主要从事强对流天气预报技术研究.E-mail:zhifang_wu@ 收稿日期：2016-11-17 基金：公益性行业 (气象) 科研专项 (GYHY201506006) Analysis of spatio temporal characteristics of hourly heavy precipitation in different grades in Guangdong SUN Xiyan WU Zhifang LIANG Qiaoqian SHEN Ping Guangdong Meteorological Observatory (Marine Weather Forecast Center of South China Sea) ; Guangdong Renhua County Nanling Ecological Meteorological Center; Abstract： Hourly heavy precipitation ( HHP) event is defined as the amount of rainfall larger than or equal to 20 mm per hour. Due to the heavy intensity and the fast accumulation of rainfall, HHP often brings a lot of problems such as urban inland inundation and traffic jam, along with disasters in mountainous regions such as landslip, torrential flood and debris flow. Based on the hourly precipitation data from Guangdong Automatic Weather Stations (AWS) and National Weather Stations, the variations of HHP during the flood season are analyzed. Results indicates that, HHP happens most frequently in three rainy areas of Guangdong. HHP activity reaches high occurrence in May, followed by June and August. The diurnal variation of HHP in August has double-peak distribution while those in other months of flood season show single-peak distribution. HHP maxima appears between 13:00 ~ 19:00 and most at 16:00. HHP most occurs at southern side of Yunwu Mountain in Western Guangdong, sout