宜宾市近64年气候变化及其对全球涛动指数的响应-自然地理学专业论文.docx

AbstractThe Climate Change and its Response to Global Oscillation Index in Yi Bin during 64 yearsMajor：Physical Geography Post·Graduate：Luo BinTutor：Jiang ShizhongAbstract：Based on long series temperature，precipitation and relative humidity data， and the data of the three global oscillation index：Southern Oscillation Index(SOI)， North Atlantic Oscillation Index(NAOI)，Arctic Oscillation Index(AOI)during 195 1-2014，morlet wavelet analysis，Mann—Kendall test,R／S analysis，correlation analysis and regression analysis are used to study the interannual climate change，theseasonal climate change，the change on oscillation index and the climate change on theresponse ofthe global oscillation index．Some cnclusions were drawn as follws：1)Four seasons only autumn temperature have obvious rise in the study region，its rise to 0．128℃／10a,the other three seasons changes didn’t pass the confidence interval． There are 8a，1 l a and 5 1 a period in the temperature series in spring，and the primaryperiod is 5 1 a；There are 3a,6a,14a and 1 8a periods in the temperature series in summer,and the primary period is 1 8a；There are 6a,1 l a and 3 1 a perids in the temperature series in autumn，and the primary period is 3 1 a；There are 3a,8a and 1 8a perids in the temperature series in winter,and the primary period is 8a．Four seasons only sumlTler and autumn precipitation have obvious decline in the study region，their decline to 17．3imm／10a and 26．264mm／10a,the other three seasons changes didn’t pass the confidence interval．There are 4a,12a,1 8a and 33a period in the precipitation series in spring，and the primary period is 33a；There are 3 a，7a，1 5a and 34a periods in the precipitation series in summer,and the primary period is 15a；There are 5a,12a and 27a perids in the precipitation series in autumn，and the primary period is 1 2a；There are 4a,6a,l l a and 25a perids in the precipitation series in winter,and the primary period is 1l a．Four seasons only summer and autumn relative humidity have obviou