民族地区旅游业发展对地方gdp贡献研究——以湘西凤凰县为例-study on the contribution of tourism development in ethnic areas to local gdp - a case study of fenghuang county, western hunan province.docxVIP
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民族地区旅游业发展对地方gdp贡献研究——以湘西凤凰县为例-study on the contribution of tourism development in ethnic areas to local gdp - a case study of fenghuang county, western hunan province
摘要湖南省凤凰县是少数民族聚居区,旅游资源丰富,是我国重要的旅游目的地 之一。实施西部大开发以来,凤凰县节节攀升的旅游规模,使旅游收入一直呈上 升趋势,旅游业总收入2011年比是2001年多了将近6倍,同时凤凰县的经济也得到 了飞速发展,2011年国内生产总值是2001年的3.5倍。科学评价凤凰县旅游业对GDP 的贡献,合理定位旅游业的产业地位和作用,可为科学合理开发旅游资源、制定 旅游业发展政策提供理论和政策依据,同时有利于促进民族区域经济的可持续发 展,本文就基于此,对凤凰县旅游业发展与GDP增长的关系和影响进行分析。首先,利用旅游经济学、民族经济学、西方经济学、区域经济学等理论分别 对两者的进行定性和定量现状分析,包括凤凰旅游资源和旅游业发展状况,凤凰 县 GDP 发展等现状。其次,运用格兰杰因果检验对旅游业发展与 GDP 增长两者关系进行了初步分 析,得出了旅游业发展是 GDP 增长的格兰杰原因。在此基础上,采用线性回归模 型,弹性模型、旅游业增加值测算贡献率等分析旅游业对 GDP 的贡献,对两者关 系从不同的角度进行了分析。最后,基于实证分析上,准确确定旅游业对 GDP 增长贡献的产业地位,将凤 凰县旅游业对 GDP 增长贡献提出了相应的政策建议与启示,首先,强化旅游消费 主体的需求方面有:适度提高旅游产品价格、自由支配收入、闲暇时间和旅游欲 望。其次,加强旅游消费客体的供给有:旅游业投入的提高,旅游投资环境的改 善;强化旅游产品开发,提升旅游产品附加值;整合武陵山区旅游资源,打造知 名旅游协作区;加强旅游人才培养,提高旅游服务水平;倡导绿色生态旅游,走 可持续发展之路。主题词: 旅游业,GDP ,经济贡献,凤凰县ABSTRACTABSTRACTAbstract:Fenghuang County of Hunan province is a minority area, rich in tourism resources, is one of Chinas most important tourism destination. Since the development of Western China, Fenghuang County tourism industry scale is also growing, tourism income has increased year by year, the total income of tourism in 2011 is 5.7 times in 2001, at the same time, phoenix county economy has obtained the rapid development, GDP in 2011 was 3.5 times that of 2001, Scientific evaluation of Fenghuang County Tourisms contribution to GDP, reasonable orientation of tourism industrial status and function, can be developed for scientific and rational development of tourism resources, theory, and policy basis of tourism development policies, at the same time conducive to promote national sustainable development of regional economy, this article is based on this, of Fenghuang County tourism development and the relationship between GDP growth and impact analysis.First of all, using tourism economics, national economics, theory of Western economics, regional economics, definitions of both the qualitative and quantitative analysis, including tourism resources and tourism development in Phoenix, Phoenix County GDP development status.Second, using Granger causalit
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