贵州金融成长和贵州经济增长关系实证分析.docVIP

贵州金融成长和贵州经济增长关系实证分析 　　【摘要】为从促进贵州区域金融成长角度来协调区域经济发展找到依据,找出贵州金融成长的特殊性及其对经济增长的影响,本文运用OLS(最小二乘法)对贵州区域金融成长与区域经济增长的关系做实证检验,发现贵州金融成长表现出一定的特殊性,对经济增长的促进作用也表现出一定的特殊性,????FIR(金融相关比率增长率),SLR(金融中介效率),INVESTt-NVEST??t-1??INVEST??t-1??(固定资产投资增长率)对贵州经济增长率是正相关关系, 即这3个因素促进了经济的增长;但是SLR(金融中介效率)在95%的置信水平下是不显著的,这说明贵州的金融机构在中介效率上不是有效率的,贷款更多的没有进入实体经济,对贵州经济增长影响不显著。??M2/GDP而的抑制作用在统计上是显著的。??M2/GDP与贵州经济增长存在显著的负相关关系,反映了贵州金融成长中的“金融虚化”特征。?? 　　【关键词】贵州;金融成长;经济增长 　　 　　Guizhou finance grows up and Guizhou economic 　　growth concerns demonstration analysis 　　Liu Ning 　　【Abstract】Be that find a basis from boosting the Guizhou area finance growing up coming to harmonize regional economies development the angle, find out particularity and their Guizhou finance impact of over economic growth, OLS (minimum two multiplication) the main body of a book is wielded grows up to Guizhou area finance and the relation that regional economies increases makes the demonstration checkout, discover the Guizhou finance growing up showing certain particularity, the effect also shows certain particularity, ????FIR??(finance relevance proportion growth rate) to the economic growth promoting, ??SLR ??(financial intermediary efficiency), ??INVESTt-NVEST??t-1??INVEST??t-1????(Fixed investments growth rate) the economic growth rate is to looking at and appraising relation to Guizhou, increase being that this 3 factors have promoted economy; But ??SLR?? (financial intermediary efficiency)Before 95%’s confidence level be no notable down, this explains that the Guizhou banking institution is not efficient on intermediary agent efficiency, more do not having of loan enter the real economy, economic growth effect is not notable to Guizhou. ????M2/GDP?? But inhibitory action is notable on counting. ????M2/GDP?? Guizhou there exists notable being defeated in economic growth and looking at and appraising relation, “finance emptiness in having reflected the Guizhou finance growing up melts ” a characteristic. 　　【Key words】Guizhou;