人民币汇率变动对我国制造业出口竞争力的影响世界经济专业论文.docxVIP

山东大学硕士学位论文4．1．2汇率变动与出口竞争力的统计分析 山东大学硕士学位论文 4．1．2汇率变动与出口竞争力的统计分析 ．32 4．2实证模型设定及变量说明 35 4．2．1实证模型设定 35 4．2．2变量解释及数据来源 35 4．3实证检验过程 37 4．3．1人民币汇率与制造业出口竞争力的协整检验 37 4．3．2人民币汇率变动对制造业进出口价格的影响 40 4．4实证检验结果分析 42 5．研究结论及政策建议 ．45 5．1研究结论 45 5．2政策建议 46 5．3有待进一步研究的问题 47 参考文献 ．．49 致谢 55 万方数据 山东大学硕士学位论文CONTENTS 山东大学硕士学位论文 CONTENTS Chinese abstract． ． ． ． ．． ． ． ．． ． ． ．． ． ． ．． ．． ． ． ． ． ．． ． ．．I 1．1 Research backgroud and significance ． ． ． ．． ． ．． ． ．． ．． ．． ． ． ．1 1．2 Iksearch idea and methods ．2 1．3 Innovation and deficiencies ．3 2 Theory and literature review 4 2．1 Theory review ．．： ．zl 2．1．1 Theories oftrade advantages ．4 2．1．2 The嘶es ofexport competitiveness 5 2．1．3 The鲥es oftrade balance adjustment 7 2．2 Literature review． ． 9 2．2．1 Literatures about export competitiveness ． ．． ． ．． ． ． ．．10 2．2．2 Literatures about exchange rate pass-through．． ．12 2．2．3 Literatures about the effect of exchange rate changes on export competitiveness ． ．1 6 3 The analysis of mechanism of exchange rate pass—through and qualitative indicators of manufacturing export competitiveness ． ． ．1 9 3．1 The mechanism ofexchange rate pass-through to exportimport prices 1 9 3．2 The mechanism of exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices 2 1 3．3 The qualitative indicators ofmanufacturing export competitiveness ． ．．．23 4 The empirical analysis of the effect of RMB exchange rate changes on export competitiveness of manufacturing industry ．27 万方数据 山东大学硕士学位论文4．1 山东大学硕士学位论文 4．1 Data analysis ofmanufacturing export competitiveness 27 4．1．1 Statistical analysis of China’S manufacturing export competitiveness ．27 4．1．2 Visualised analysis of exchange rate changesmanufacturing export competitiveness changes． ．． ．． ． ．． ．． ． ．． ． ． ．．． 32 4．2 Research modelinstruction ofvariables ．．35 4．2．1 Research model ．35 4．2．2 Selection ofvariables and data source 、 ．35 4．3 Process ofempirical resaerch ． ．37 4．3．1 Cointegration test of RMB exchange rate and manufacturing export competit